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Democratic party’s presumptive nominee 2.1 points over Trump in FiveThirtyEight’s national average

From card sharps to crypto traders, a statistician asks what we can learn from the people prepared to gamble everything

Recent national head-to-head polls favor Harris, but polls in battleground states present a more mixed picture

The United States election will be held on November 5. It’s been a week since President Joe Biden withdrew from the presidential contest and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris. No other Democrat is contesting the Democratic nomination, so Harris will be the nominee.

As US voters digest the news that US President Joe Biden will not seek re-election, attention is turning to the chances that his presumptive successor on the Democratic ticket, Vice President Kamala Harris, will beat Republican nominee Donald Trump in November. Although new polls have not been released since Biden’s…

The United States election will be held on November 5. On Sunday US time, President Joe Biden withdrew from the presidential election contest and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris.

Decades of research shows that VP picks rarely swing the vote – in key states or among vital demographics.

Rep. Lloyd Doggett (D-Texas) represents a blue district based in Austin and has served in Congress since 1995.

The United Kingdom general election will be held in a week, on July 4. Polls close at 7am AEST on July 5. The 650 members of the House of Commons are elected by first-past-the-post, in which the candidate with the most votes wins the seat.

Donald Trump returned to Capitol Hill for the first time since the Jan. 6 insurrection, and Republicans feted him in a pep rally session.

A Republican presidential candidate hasn't won Nevada since 2004, but Joe Biden's struggling the way he is in the South.