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The Latest Breaking News from FiveThirtyEight

US elections 2024: a Biden vs Trump rematch is very likely, with Trump leading Biden

The United States general election will be held on November 5 2024. In early 2024, there are Democratic and Republican presidential nominating contests that will elect delegates to the parties’ nominating conventions. These conventions, in July (for Republicans) and August (Democrats) officially select their parties’ presidential candidates.

The Conversation

Four 2024 Republican Candidates Face Off in a New Debate: What Have They Said About Latinos?

Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy and Chris Christie engage tonight. The main Latino-related topics among hot button issues in past editions

Latin Times

Former Florida congressman struggles in Iowa presidential race - Roll Call

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis visited all 99 Iowa counties, but completing a “full Grassley” may not help, analyst Nathan L. Gonzales writes.

Roll Call

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Nikki Haley would beat Biden and DeSantis in New Hampshire, new poll finds

Haley only Republican to beat Biden in granite state, as ex-UN ambassador sees gains in several polls

The Independent UK

Republicans Blow Another Opportunity At the Ballot Box

Abortion and the shadow of Donald Trump hobble GOP prospects.

Reason

Nikki Haley’s campaign raises $11m as poll puts her as Trump’s closest rival

The former South Carolina Governor is vying for position with Ron DeSantis, looking to take the lead with just over three months to go before the first GOP nominating contest in Iowa

The Independent UK

Republican 2024 hopeful Tim Scott admits he’s so desperate for votes he asked 9-year-old to caucus for him

After the South Carolina senator asked the Iowa girl to caucus for him, she was confused, he recounted

The Independent UK

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Polling wizard Nate Silver went from blogger to Disney-backed media mogul. Now he’s out, most of his staff are laid off—and he has some thoughts

The “witch” rocketed to fame when he called 99 out of 100 states’ election results in 2008 and 2012. But he has a warning for founders like himself.

Fortune

Trump, DeSantis and top Republican candidates share stage at Iowa event

Thirteen candidates appeared at the Republican party’s 2023 Lincoln Dinner fundraiser to address donors

The Guardian - US

The Real Worry Behind the Unhinged Freakout Over No Labels

No amount of third-party/RFK Jr. shaming can erase the fact that Joe Biden is a weak and unpopular incumbent.

Reason

Despite indictment, Trump retains huge lead in Republican primary polls and narrowly leads Biden

On June 8, former United States president Donald Trump was indicted on federal charges of mishandling classified documents. Despite the indictment, he retains a huge lead in national polling to determine the 2024 Republican presidential candidate.

The Conversation

The US could default on June 1 owing to gridlock over the debt limit; Biden vs Trump polls are close

The United States debt limit is a legislative limit on the overall debt the US government can incur. As the US keeps running budget deficits, the debt keeps increasing. Congress could deal with this permanently by either repealing the debt limit, or increasing it to a very large number.

The Conversation

Supercomputer predicts Everton finish in relegation battle with Leeds, Leicester and Nottingham Forest

Everton hold an advantage on Leeds and Leicester with two matches to play this Premier League season

Liverpool Echo

Supercomputer predicts Liverpool's finish in Champions League battle with Man United and Newcastle

Liverpool remain in the quest for Champions League qualification this season after seven wins on the spin

Liverpool Echo

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Nottingham Post

Nottingham Forest's relegation battle with Leeds and Everton predicted by supercomputer

Latest Nottingham Forest news from NottinghamshireLive as the Reds' final position in the Premier League table is predicted

Leeds Live

Supercomputer delivers decisive verdict on Leeds United and Everton in relegation fight

Leeds United picked up what could prove to be a valuable point against Newcastle United and here is how FiveThirtyEight view the relegation battle

Nottingham Post

Nottingham Forest's survival bid predicted in Everton and Leeds battle

Latest Nottingham Forest news from NottinghamshireLive as the Reds' final Premier League position this season is predicted

Leeds Live

Supercomputer shift shows just how costly Leeds United's recent slide has been

Leeds United's chances of relegation have shifted significantly over the past month

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The Guardian - US

The digital media bubble has burst. Where does the industry go from here?

Buzzfeed, Vice, Gawker and Drudge Report are all traffic-war casualties, but they succeeded in shaking up the media landscape

Reason

Appeals Court Dismisses Lawsuit Accusing Twitter of Sex Trafficking

Plus: Connecticut may exonerate witches, federal regulators are waging a quiet war on crypto, and more...

Liverpool Echo

Supercomputer predicts Liverpool's Champions League fate after Man United slip up

Liverpool are seven points behind fourth-placed Manchester United in the Premier League standings

Football London

West Ham's chances of being relegated compared to Leicester, Leeds, Everton, Nottingham Forest

West Ham United are currently 14th and five points above the relegation zone with six games left and here is how their chances of being relegated compare to their nearest rivals

Leeds Live

Leeds United face relegation coin-flip chance as bookies and supercomputer update forecasts

Leeds United are still tipped to avoid relegation but only by the narrowest of margins

Broadcasting & Cable

Bye Ho Silver: FiveThirtyEight Election Data Guru Gets Cut Amid Disney Layoffs

Site founder Nate Silver is out at ABC News

Wales Online

Experts work out percentage chance Swansea City, Norwich City and West Brom have of making play-offs

The Swans are the Championship’s in-form team and have a slim chance of reaching the play-offs

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