The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

Recent national head-to-head polls favor Harris, but polls in battleground states present a more mixed picture

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. Election analyst Nate Silver’s national poll aggregate has Democratic nominee and current vice president Kamala Harris leading Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump by 45.5–44.1%, with 5.0% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Plus: Vance the enigma, V.C. goes MAGA, and more...

Tensions amid party members rise as Biden tests positive for Covid and will be in self-isolation in Delaware

Plus: Iranian Trump plot, Newsom's stand against parental rights, Biden tries SCOTUS term limits, and more...

After Biden's dismal debate against Trump, pundits turn to polls to learn America's future; what do they say?

Plus: Illegal beach booze-selling, California's "tax apocalypse," and more...

Plus: The editors reflect on the release of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange.

As President Biden struggled in the debate, S&P 500 futures edged higher. Investors may prefer former president Trump, but his policies aren't a slam dunk.