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The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

Polls Show VP Harris Gaining Ground In Swing States

Ohio Sen. JD Vance discusses Trump's campaign strategy and the evolving dynamics between Trump and Harris. Polls show Harris leading in some swing states, ...

Top News

Kamala Wants Price Controls

Plus: East River swimming, Nord Stream update, Palmer Luckey, and more...

Reason

Megyn Kelly attributes Trump ‘rambling’ in Elon Musk interview to his age

Conservative media personality has been critical of the former president in the past – while he has repeatedly insulted her

The Independent UK

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Nate Silver: Harris is now beating Trump

"We've seen momentum for Harris with her rising consistently to about a 2.5% lead in national polls," Silver said

Salon

Harris’ lead over Trump continues to increase in US national and swing state polls

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 46.8–43.7 with 3.9% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article on August 5, Harris led Trump by 45.5–44.1.

The Conversation

Nate Silver charts the course of risk-taking, from Sam Bankman-Fried to Sam Altman

For Nate Silver poker, Sam Bankman-Fried, and the future of AI are all connected by one thing—risk-taking.

Fortune

Nate Silver: How Likely Is a Kamala Harris Presidency?

Statistician Nate Silver will join Just Asking Questions at 12:30 p.m. ET this Thursday to talk about the state of the Democratic Party.

Reason

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On the Edge by Nate Silver review – the art of risk-taking

From card sharps to crypto traders, a statistician asks what we can learn from the people prepared to gamble everything

The Guardian - UK

Polls show Kamala Harris moving ahead of Donald Trump in 2024 US election

Recent national head-to-head polls favor Harris, but polls in battleground states present a more mixed picture

The Guardian - US

Kamala Harris edges ahead of Donald Trump in national polls for US election

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. Election analyst Nate Silver’s national poll aggregate has Democratic nominee and current vice president Kamala Harris leading Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump by 45.5–44.1%, with 5.0% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

The Conversation

Who is Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan? The 26-year-old’s crypto betting site is taking U.S. politics by storm

Polymarket has hired polling superstar Nate Silver and is now a must-read for politicos. But who is behind it, and what are its business plans?

Fortune

Nate Silver's Election Model Predicts Harris As Modest Underdog

Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris as popular vote favorite but Electoral College underdog against Trump.

Top News

Nobody knows what will happen next — and certainly not journalists

The business model for struggling media outlets is to peddle in stargazing predictions rather than offer context and explanation.

Crikey

BYEden

Plus: Kamala Harris enters the race, unlicensed pot shop crackdowns, Ozempic dupes, and more...

Reason

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Reason

An Intervention for Joe Biden

Plus: Vance the enigma, V.C. goes MAGA, and more...

The Guardian - US

Biden faces renewed pressure to step aside as Democrats’ rift widens

Tensions amid party members rise as Biden tests positive for Covid and will be in self-isolation in Delaware

Reason

Vivek's Vision

Plus: Iranian Trump plot, Newsom's stand against parental rights, Biden tries SCOTUS term limits, and more...

Salon

Examination: Are the polls even reliable

After Biden's dismal debate against Trump, pundits turn to polls to learn America's future; what do they say?

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Reason

Biden's Litany of Excuses

Plus: Illegal beach booze-selling, California's "tax apocalypse," and more...

Reason

Biden, Cognitive Decline, and the End of American Empire

Plus: The editors reflect on the release of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange.

Investors Business Daily

Trump's Debate Win Gave The S&P 500 A Boost. Then This Happened.

As President Biden struggled in the debate, S&P 500 futures edged higher. Investors may prefer former president Trump, but his policies aren't a slam dunk.

Top News

Nate Silver Predicts Trump Favored To Win White House

Nate Silver's forecast predicts Trump's advantage in the presidential race, with insights on Biden's chances and the Electoral College/popular vote dynamics.

The Guardian - US

Biden and Trump arrive in Atlanta to face off in first 2024 election debate – live

Biden campaign says first lady Jill Biden will be there for pivotal debate – but unclear if Melania Trump will attend

Reason

Dental Dams for Palestine

Plus: San Francisco can't fix homelessness, future lawyers can't handle cops, and more...

The Guardian - US

Discussing Sonia Sotomayor’s retirement is not sexist – it’s strategic

The liberal justice has been called the supreme court’s conscience but we can’t afford a repeat of Ruth Bader Ginsburg

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