The Latest Breaking News from MRCI

Another Federal Reserve Board meeting has left the Fed Funds rate unchanged at 5.25 to 5.50%. Due to the stickiness of inflation being higher than their 2% target, they have reduced the chances of rate cuts to only once this year instead of the original 3-4 times. The 10-year Treasury…

Based on the continuous futures contract, corn prices peaked at nearly $8.25 in May 2022. The rally was in response to the Russian attack on Ukraine, forcing international grain prices to rally. Since that time, the price has declined to $4.50. Corn has a bullish seasonal pattern after the planting…

While countries struggle with Central Bank indecisions on interest rates, the harvest season in Australia is predictable. Australia boasts a robust commodity base, frequently called a commodity currency. Commodities account for a large share of Australia's exports, so movements in commodity prices result in movements in export prices. Exports lead…

Late December's tax-driven selling pressures drove oil prices down. As if on cue, seasonal buying pressure emerged, injecting a fresh wave of optimism into the crude oil market. This demand is not without purpose; it marks the onset of preparations for the impending summer driving season. Refiners embark on a…

The recent gold rally stalled on March 08, at $2,203, and has since ground lower as the market awaits this week's global Central Banks decisions on interest rates and economic conditions. Gold's recent rally has good support from the managed money community. Have the funds become too optimistic too quickly?…

Copper prices traded on the CMEGroup Exchange surged today as the market broke out of a 7-month trading range. Early indications are that the move was tied to news that Chinese smelters agreed to cut production. China is the world leader in copper imports, and the smelters process half of…

The bulls have woken the sleeping GBP/USD. Since mid-December 2023, the GBP/USD weekly chart has seen sideways trading activity. The past five trading days have seen a 1.55% increase in value, adding to a year-to-date .94% increase. The question becomes, will the rally continue? As the UK's fiscal first quarter…

Since mid-December, when the crude oil futures made a seasonal low, the market has steadily traded higher. A typical seasonal pattern usually sees crude oil bottoming in December or January before rallying into May 01. But what if you missed the first leg of this uptrend? Is there an upcoming…

Who will cut rates first, Banxico (Mexico's Central Bank) or the Federal Reserve (US Central Bank)? With a 5.75% spread (favoring Mexico) of short-term interest rates, the carry trade has money flowing into the Mexican Peso. As both countries prepare for upcoming elections, there is sure to be volatility in…