The Latest Breaking News from MRCI

Equity investors often overlook market seasonality. Unfortunately, seasonality is usually tied to future markets. However, there are instances where the seasonality of commodities can enhance an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). Two significant commodities are entering a seasonal buy that will impact an outperforming homebuilder ETF. The Federal Reserve (FED) appears ready…

A corn trader should look to buy when prices approach levels near the cost of production, as further downside risk may be limited. With corn futures already down about 18% year-to-date due to increased supply expectations, traders should consider that prices at or below production costs tend to create upward…

Gasoline prices typically fall in the autumn and early winter as demand decreases and gasoline retailers switch to cheaper winter-blend fuels. Additionally, Americans take fewer trips during this period, further reducing demand. OPEC is expected to increase production in December, which could contribute to further price declines. These combined factors…

The US government's fiscal year significantly impacts financial markets because the federal budget process influences economic policy, government spending, and fiscal stability. As the fiscal year draws to a close on September 30, market participants closely monitor budget negotiations, potential government shutdowns, and funding decisions, which can create uncertainty and…

The US government's fiscal year significantly impacts financial markets because the federal budget process influences economic policy, government spending, and fiscal stability. As the fiscal year draws to a close on September 30, market participants closely monitor budget negotiations, potential government shutdowns, and funding decisions, which can create uncertainty and…

Recent concerns about the unwinding of yen carry trades and its potential impact on financial markets have proven less disruptive than anticipated. Despite other countries raising interest rates to combat post-pandemic inflation, Japan has kept borrowing costs low to address its long-term economic stagnation. Although the Bank of Japan (BoJ)…

Recently released inflation numbers were tamer than expected, leading market participants to anticipate the Fed will cut rates at their next meeting. The stock market's seasonal buy will use this bullish information as wind to its back. The recent selloff in the stock market created an opportunity for bullish investors.…

Corn market participants have seen a steep fall after prices peaked in the Spring of 2022. Last year's planting season rally saw prices peak at $6.30 based on the new crop December 2023 futures. Many farmers/producers held onto their crops, anticipating higher prices. However, record production in the US and…

After the recent CPI numbers were released, investor sentiment indicated an 85% likelihood of a rate cut at the Federal Reserve's September meeting, up from approximately 70% the prior trading session. This expectation shift has boosted the appeal of gold, as declining interest rates make gold more attractive. Following the…

Over the past five years, data shows distinct patterns in the seasonality of gold prices. September has consistently been weak, with prices often closing lower than they opened, suggesting a decrease in market confidence or a shift in investment focus. In contrast, due to increased buying, July has shown a…

This time last year, new crop corn futures traded above $6.00 due to low supply caused by adverse weather and geopolitical issues, including the invasion of Ukraine. US farmers expected these trends to persist and held onto their crops, anticipating price increases. However, a record production year in the US…