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The Latest Breaking News from Monetary Policy

S&P Futures Tread Water Ahead of Powell Speech, Disney Earnings on Tap

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are trending up +0.06% this morning as investors looked ahead to comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell for further clues on the U.S. central bank’s monetary policy path while also awaiting an earnings report from Disney.

Barchart

Hawkish Fed Comments Lift the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Tuesday rose by +0.33%. The dollar on Tuesday rose moderately as comments from several Fed officials dampened speculation the Fed was finished tightening monetary policy. A decline in T-note yields Tuesday limited gains in the dollar. U.S. economic news Tuesday was bearish for the dollar....

Barchart

Stocks soar after Bank of England leaves interest rates on hold and warns of recession risk – as it happened

Bank of England voted 6-3 to leave interest rates at 5.25% today, but warns that monetary policy is likely to need to stay restrictive for some time

The Guardian - UK

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Bank of England expected to keep interest rates unchanged amid risk of recession

Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee announces its next interest rates decision on Thursday

The Independent UK

S&P Futures Tick Lower Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Earnings and Economic Data in Focus

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are trending down -0.16% this morning as investors digested weaker-than-expected business activity readings from China and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision, with the focus shifting to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meeting as well as a fresh batch of earnings reports and…

Barchart

The Bank of England needs to lower interest rates now or risk recession

City Voices: The UK is in serious risk of entering a recession, meaning hardship and misery for millions

Evening Standard

S&P Futures Tick Higher Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Earnings and Economic Data in Focus

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are trending up +0.12% this morning as investors digested weaker-than-expected business activity readings from China and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision, with the focus shifting to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meeting as well as a fresh batch of earnings reports and…

Barchart

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Interest rates: if central banks don't start cutting them soon, it could actually increase inflation

What next for interest rates? The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is widely expected to leave them unchanged when it meets on November 2, despite the fact that UK headline inflation is still at 6.7%. If so, it will mark the second monthly freeze in a row, following…

The Conversation

S&P Futures Climb Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Earnings and Economic Data in Focus

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are trending up +0.23% this morning as investors digested weaker-than-expected business activity readings from China and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision, with the focus shifting to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meeting and rate decision.

Barchart

Stock Index Futures Mixed Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Chinese Data Disappoints

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are up +0.14%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ23) are down -0.11% this morning as investors digested weaker-than-expected business activity readings from China and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision, with the focus shifting to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meeting and…

Barchart

‘A whiff of 2008’: analysts detect danger in Bank of England’s crackdown on inflation

With wages growth and job vacancies slowing, the monetary policy committee should hold interest rates again if it wants to avoid storing up trouble

The Guardian - UK

Long-term interest rates are spiking. Could they deliver a recession–or are they a sign of strength for the U.S. economy?

Rather than being vetoed by bond markets, policymakers are seeking higher rates–and getting what they want.

Fortune

Tightrope walk: On RBI holding rates

RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee decision to leave interest rates unchanged even as the central bank warned of the major risk that ‘high inflation’ poses to macroeconomic stability is a clear sign that monetary authorities find themselves caught in a cleft stick.

The Hindu

A leaf out of John McCain's playbook

Chris Eichbaum argues Chrstopher Luxon could do with a dose of John McCain-style leadership and integrity

Newsroom.co.nz

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Newsroom.co.nz

A 'hawkish' Reserve Bank rates decision will be bad for borrowers, good for savers

Business & investing: ANZ Bank economists expecting rate rise before year's end, but Kiwibank thinks hikes aren't necessary, writes Andrew Patterson

The Conversation

Interest rates: Monetary policy is always political as central banks opt to back the financial sector

As the Bank of Canada prepared to announce its decision on interest rates in early September, Tiff Macklem, the bank’s governor, received imploring letters from premiers spanning both the country and the political spectrum.

Evening Standard

FTSE 100 Live: Pound lowest since March, London top flight closes flat, Burberry lower

Revised bets on interest rates in the UK and US today kept sterling under pressure.

The Conversation

No, the RBA review won't mean handing the bank's decisions to part-time outsiders

Misinformation is circulating about recommendations concerning the Reserve Bank board made by the RBA Review, of which I was a member.

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AAP

RBA governor could chair two boards under restructure

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says there are still a handful of issues the Reserve Bank and the government are working through from the review into the central bank.

Evening Standard

Bank of England may ease pressure on mortgage holders today by pausing interest rate rises

Markets see Thursday’s interest rate decision from the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee more or less a coin toss

Newsroom.co.nz

Reserve Bank credibility in question over 'blackballing' of experts

Allowing macroeconomic and monetary experts to serve on the Monetary Policy Committee is welcome. But, asks Eric Crampton, how did Reserve Bank believe there had never really been a ban?

The Independent UK

Bank policymaker warns pausing UK interest rate hikes could ’embed’ inflation

Catherine Mann, who is a member of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, said she would rather ‘err on the side of over-tightening’ monetary policy.

Barchart

VIX: Sentiment Says Stocks Will Rise- Is it Wrong?

The VIX fell to a new low of 13.02 on September 1, the lowest level since June 22, when it dropped to a 12.73 post-pandemic low. The VIX has been in a bearish trend in 2023, reflecting the significant rally in the most diversified U.S. stock market index, the S&P…

The Guardian - UK

Central banks will push economies into recession, says Hunt adviser

Signs of weakness needed before monetary policy is eased in west, says strategist advising chancellor

Barchart

Jackson Hole Meeting, Earnings and Other Key Themes to Watch This Week

This week we again have the excitement and opportunity of earnings plays, but we also have the Jackson Hole Symposium where monetary policy is discussed. In addition, we have the usual monthly news releases to create some volatility in the market.

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