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The Latest Breaking News from Jan Hatzius

Goldman Sachs Sees Only Small Chance of Recession

It forecasts economic growth of 1.6% this year, after 1.1% annualized growth in the first quarter.

The Street

Goldman Sachs says Fed officials don’t need to spark a recession to tame inflation—but they think otherwise

The Fed’s economists expect a “mild recession” this year, but Goldman’s Jan Hatzius says the cooling labor market means a “soft landing” is still possible.

Fortune

Stocks could surge 14% by the end of the year—oddly, with help from the bank crisis

The economy and inflation could slow without the need for many more interest rate hikes—and it would be good news for stocks.

Fortune

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Goldman Sachs says the banking meltdown is a 'headwind' for the economy but not a recession-causing 'hurricane'

Goldman's chief economist believes tighter lending standards after SVB's collapse will help fight inflation instead of causing a "hurricane that pushes the economy into recession."

Fortune

Why another high inflation report may not cause Fed to hike

The government inflation report being released Tuesday is expected to show that price acceleration in the United States remained chronically high in February, putting the Federal Reserve in an unusually tough position

The Independent UK

SVB Collapse: Fed Rate Hike Bets Crumble, 2-Year Yields Plunge As Markets Tremble

"In light of recent stress in the banking system, we no longer expect the Fed to deliver a rate hike at its March 22 meeting," said Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius.

The Street

The blowout jobs report could have just changed the whole year for markets, according to Goldman’s chief economist

Robust job growth is great news for the economy, but really changes the Fed’s plans.

Fortune

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Goldman Sachs thinks the economy will actually pull off a soft landing—but adds the S&P will stay flat for a whole year

A "soft landing" doesn't mean stock market investors should celebrate. Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist is warning the S&P 500 will end 2023 at 4,000.

Fortune

Goldman Sachs economists keep doubling down on their call that we’ll avoid a recession. Their boss disagrees.

What a difference 30% makes. Goldman’s chief economist sees about a one-in-three chance of the economy shrinking, but CEO David Solomon sees it the other way.

Fortune

All eyes are on Tuesday's crucial inflation report. Here's how the Fed, the economy, and markets may respond

Investment banks see inflation falling in November, but that may not be enough to protect the U.S. economy from a recession.

Fortune

Goldman Sachs: Don't Count on Fed Cutting Rates Next Year

The Fed has lifted interest rates 3.75% since it started its tightening campaign in March.

The Street

The Fed is pushing the economy ‘quite unnecessarily’ into a recession, J.P. Morgan strategist says

A recession is likely next year, but it may have been avoidable.

Fortune

Goldman Sachs: Soft Landing for Economy Is Possible

Many investors and economists are worried that the Fed's interest-rate hikes will send the economy into recession.

The Street

The Market Is Pricing In Back-To-Back 0.75% Interest Rate Hikes: What Investors Need To Know

The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its target Fed funds rate by 0.5% in May, its first interest rate hike of that size in more than 20 years. With this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting just around the quarter, the bond market is now anticipating the Fed will ramp up…

Benzinga

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StockNews.com

2 ETFs to Avoid After Goldman Sachs Warns of a Slowdown in Consumer Spending

As Goldman Sachs warns of a potential slowdown in consumer spending in the coming months, given multi-decade high inflation and Fed's impending interest rate increases, we think it could be wise to avoid consumer discretionary ETFs SPDR Select Sector (XLY) and Vanguard (VCR). Read on to learn more.

Tribune News Service

Robert Burgess: Recession predictions are piling up. Don't freak out

Wall Street’s focus seems to have changed in recent days from how fast and how high the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates to the timing of the next recession. The two are not mutually exclusive. The consensus is that the Fed is so far behind that curve when it…

Tribune News Service

Goldman Sachs sees US recession odds at 35% in next 2 years

History suggests that the Federal Reserve will face a difficult task in tightening monetary policy enough to cool inflation without causing a U.S. recession, with the odds of a contraction at about 35% over the next two years, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

Benzinga

Goldman Sachs Trims US Growth Forecast On Rising Commodity Prices: Reuters

Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:GS) analysts downgraded forecasts for U.S. economic growth for this year, reckoning that spikes in oil and other commodities since Russia's invasion of Ukraine will hurt spending, reported Reuters. The investment bank cut its annualized growth forecast to 2.9% against a previous expectation of 3.1%. It expects fourth-quarter…

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Benzinga

Goldman Sachs Now Expects 5 Rate Hikes From The Fed In 2022

Goldman Sachs Group Inc’s (NYSE: GS) economists led by Jan Hatzius have predicted that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points five times this year, rather

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