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The Latest Breaking News from Gareth Aird

Why the RBA should rethink key inflation assumption

The strength of Australia's labour market has kept the Reserve Bank from cutting interest rates but growing evidence suggests it's not as crucial as thought.

AAP

How China uncertainty could push back RBA rate cut

Unexpected jobs figures have diminished hopes of an interest rate cut in February but favourable inflation data could put lower mortgage costs back on the menu.

AAP

Interest rate relief edges closer as RBA changes tune

Australia's central bank is sounding more confident it can beat inflation in welcome signs for mortgage-holders, home-buyers and the federal government.

AAP

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RBA set to hold rates steady at final meeting of 2024

No change in interest rates is anticipated at the Reserve Bank of Australia's last board meeting of the calendar year.

AAP

Inflation readout make or break for 2024 rate cut

Important pieces of the economic puzzle will fall into place this week, starting with inflation and then spending data.

AAP

Inflation green shoots could spell earlier rates relief

A cooling rental market and slower pay growth hint at a disinflationary pulse some economists hope could deliver borrowers an early Christmas present.

AAP

Reserve Bank expected to leave interest rate untouched for seventh meeting in a row

Economic activity was ‘a little bit softer’ than central bank had predicted, one expert notes, but a rate cut still seems unlikely

The Guardian - AU

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Greens may bristle at comparison but their RBA interest rate cut ultimatum is Trumpist

No government institution is entirely at arm’s length, but an intervention by Jim Chalmers would likely be calamitous

The Guardian - AU

Impact of US rate cut in Australia remains to be seen

Senior minister Bill Shorten says it's unclear how much of an impact the US Federal Reserve's interest rates cut will have on Australia's economy.

AAP

Rates likely on hold with Reserve Bank coy on next move

The August interest rate meeting will dominate the week's economic agenda, with the Reserve Bank tipped to leave rates unchanged.

AAP

RBA likely to hold rates as price pressures loiter

The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hold interest rates at 4.35 per cent and keep its options open on its next move.

AAP

Reserve Bank tipped to hold interest rate but economists split on when cuts will start

Pundits and investors expect the RBA to leave its cash rate unchanged at 4.35% when the board meets on Tuesday

The Guardian - AU

Cash rate likely on hold in 'straightforward' call

No change in interest rates is expected when the Reserve Bank meets this week and the case to hike further will likely be discussed despite a weak economy.

AAP

Stage-three tax cut changes will have minimal effect on inflation, economists predict

Banks say tax tweaks approved by Anthony Albanese’s cabinet may slow pace of RBA interest rate cuts and further reforms are needed to fill budget shortfalls

The Guardian - AU

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The Guardian - AU

Labor says it’s looking for ways to ease cost-of-living pressures. Just don’t mention the stage-three tax cuts

The cuts are already baked into the RBA’s forecasts and economists say there is little point looking at alternatives

The Guardian - AU

Golden zone: could Australia’s economy pull off a miracle in 2024?

Signs suggest inflation and interest rates may fall considerably without killing growth or employment. The government will be desperately hoping so

AAP

Rationale behind RBA's December rates call on show

The minutes from the December interest rate meeting will outline the Reserve Bank's thinking on inflation as households gear up for the festive season.

The Guardian - AU

Australia’s economy 2023 report: how it started v how it’s going

Stronger than expected population growth made inflation hardier than most experts predicted and property prices defied successive rate rises

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AAP

Looming job market slowdown to hit young workers hard

The strength of the jobs market has been puzzling economists although a number of indicators are signalling a weaker trend to come.

The Guardian - AU

Economists split over prospects of another rate rise ahead of RBA meeting

Despite 11 hikes in the cash rate since last May, some forecasters think the central bank could still raise borrowing costs again

The New Daily

Will the Reserve Bank hike interest rates in June? The big banks can’t agree

The prospect of another painful interest rate hike is looming over already stretched family budgets heading into June, but will the RBA actually push up

The New Daily

‘Slightly less terrible’: Why the budget won’t worsen inflation

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has accused the Albanese government of delivering an inflationary budget, but not all experts think so.

The New Daily

‘Pause doesn’t mean peak’: The RBA has stopped hiking rates – but will the mortgage reprieve last?

Millions of Australian homeowners were spared another increase in their mortgage bills on Tuesday when the RBA paused interest rates.

The Guardian - AU

Australian banks predict another interest rate rise despite hopeful investor outlook

Big four banks believe RBA will lift cash rate by at least another 25 basis points though many predict rises are close to a peak

The New Daily

How many more interest rate hikes? RBA boss Philip Lowe gives clues

Home owners will be slugged with another mortgage bill squeeze after the Reserve Bank raised its interest rates for the 10th time in a row.

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