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The Latest Breaking News from the Reserve Bank

Private demand under the microscope after rate hike

Fresh data will reveal whether the strong momentum in private spending, which spurred the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates, has continued into 2026.

AAP

Reserve Bank boss calls on businesses to invest smarter

Opposition MPs have grilled Reserve Bank officials over whether government spending and monetary policy errors contributed to the first rate hike in two years.

AAP

What are the odds? The RBA has raised interest rates – for no real reason other than to meet the desires of speculators

The prospect of a cash rate increase on Tuesday changed dramatically over the past month. One wonders if the Reserve Bank listened more to the commentariat than the data

The Guardian - AU

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A hot economy? RBA’s rate hike justification is hard to swallow for Australians struggling with cost-of-living crisis

Economists and the central bank might see a roaring economy but workers and mortgage holders still feel like they’re doing it tough

The Guardian - AU

RBA raises interest rates as inflation pressures remain high

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has lifted the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85%, adding to pressure on households and businesses. While the move was widely expected by markets and most economists, the Reserve Bank says inflation risks remain too high to be comfortable.

The Conversation

Grim forecasts for Aussie inflation and unemployment

The Reserve Bank has revised up its prediction for core inflation, with price growth expected to remain above its midpoint target despite higher interest rates.

AAP

Man charged over allegedly giving Nazi salute to Jewish students at Melbourne airport – as it happened

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The Guardian - AU

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Borrowed time: rate hike unlikely to be one-and-done

Mortgage holders could face back-to-back rate hikes after the Reserve Bank raised interest rates amid rising inflation pressures.

AAP

Why some economists go against the flow on RBA rate bet

The Reserve Bank is widely tipped to become the first major central bank on Tuesday to U-turn from rate cuts to rate hikes in the post-COVID inflation era.

AAP

Row over government role fuelling inflation, rate rise

Spending blow-outs by the government will force the Reserve Bank to hike rates, critics say, but the treasurer argues the private sector is driving inflation.

AAP

Australian inflation jumps, adding to chances of an RBA interest rate hike

Inflation has risen further above the Reserve Bank of Australia’s 2–3% target. There is now a very real prospect the Reserve Bank will feel it needs to increase interest rates at its meeting next week, with an announcement due on Tuesday afternoon.

The Conversation

Key RBA concern eases ahead of crucial inflation print

An easing in capacity constraints will help soothe some worried minds at Martin Place, but hot inflation data could still force the Reserve Bank to hike rates.

AAP

Magic number that could decide an interest rate hike

Traders now tip a greater-than-50 per cent chance of an interest rate hike in February, but some pundits are holding out hope for a Reserve Bank reprieve.

AAP

Healthy jobs market spells rate pain for borrowers

Upcoming inflation data will be make or break for a Reserve Bank rate hike decision following stronger than expected jobs figures, economists say.

AAP

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AAP

Complacency risk for economy as tariff wars re-emerge

A deterioration in the job market could spare Australian borrowers interest rate hikes in 2026, an economist says.

The Guardian - AU

In a world going to hell, investors are flocking to gold. Australia could have had much more of it

A decision to sell two-thirds of Australia’s gold reserves in the 1990s is starting to look like a bad one as global uncertainty reigns

AAP

Rate hike 'risks hurting' fragile consumer sentiment

A fresh survey of Australian consumer sentiment doesn't make for encouraging reading as the central bank weighs lifting the cash rate at its next meeting.

AAP

RBA official's advice to borrowers over inflation data

Mortgage holders have been warned not to expect relief anytime soon with the latest inflation figures unlikely to significantly influence the RBA's thinking.

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The Guardian - AU

Australia’s inflation slows to 3.4%, easing fears of a February interest rate hike

Consumer prices rose less than markets expected in the year to November, but economists warn rate rises will still be needed in 2026

AAP

Rates hike still on the table despite softer inflation

A sharper-than-expected fall in inflation will encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia, but underlying price growth remains too hot for comfort.

AAP

Dishing the public dosh to force RBA's hand on rates

With the government unlikely to restrain public spending, the Reserve Bank will have to lift rates in 2026 to keep inflation under control, economists say.

The Conversation

Politics with Michelle Grattan: Jim Chalmers on the Bondi terror attack and the mid-year budget update

The mid-year budget update would normally be big news. But this week it’s been entirely overshadowed by the devastating Bondi terror attack.

The Conversation

The budget update shows a slight improvement in the federal deficit, but it’s mostly due to good luck

The federal government’s mid-year budget update shows a modest improvement in the deficit forecast in 2025–26, but much of this comes from a larger-than-forecast tax take.

The Guardian - AU

No wonder Michele Bullock’s dramatic departure from the RBA’s interest rate script left markets swinging wildly

Less than two months ago the market was predicting the cash rate would be at 3.35% but that by May next year a further cut to 3.1% was almost certain

The Conversation

As the population ages, the RBA’s interest rate policy is no longer fit for purpose

An extensive government review of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) in 2023 made 51 specific recommendations to enable “an RBA fit for the future”. But the narrow terms of reference confined the review to an economic lens.

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