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The Latest Breaking News from Torsten Slok

Will the tariffs lead to a recession? Here's how to know if we're in one

President Donald Trump’s sharp tariff hikes last week have sent the stock market into a tailspin, raised alarm bells among Wall Street executives, and heightened many economists’ worries that the U.S. could tip into recession

The Independent UK

The housing market now has more ‘downside risks’: layoffs from DOGE and the trade war

The housing market now has more ‘downside risks’: layoffs from DOGE and the trade war

A week of back-to-back housing data revealed a tiny boost in sales and modest improvement where home prices and mortgage rates are concerned. But don’t be fooled, housing is still unaffordable for many.

A staycation nation: Americans hit a 15-year low in travel planning

A staycation nation: Americans hit a 15-year low in travel planning

Blame policy uncertainty on Trump 2.0, according to Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok.

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CPI, Retail Sales May Calm S&P 500, Curb Fed Rate-Cut Views

Consumer price index and retail sales data this week should ease economic concerns, but markets may reel in odds of a big Fed rate cut as the S&P 500 tries to break a four-week losing streak.

Investors Business Daily

Top economist: More people are looking for a job, but not because they were laid off

The unemployment rate reflects the fact that the number of workers is growing, not that more people are losing their jobs.

Soaring Budget Deficit Raises Risk For S&P 500; Can AI Save The Day?

Will the AI boom boost productivity enough to rein in the federal budget deficit? The S&P 500 faces a bumpy ride while we wait for the answer.

Investors Business Daily

Apollo's chief economist defies Fed’s hawkish pivot; no rate hikes this year despite ‘dramatic turnaround’

Yet Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari recently refused to rule out interest rate hikes.

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Americans still haven’t run out of pandemic savings quite yet, JPMorgan study finds

Americans still haven’t run out of pandemic savings quite yet, JPMorgan study finds

The biggest question facing economists is when will consumers burn through their COVID-era piggy bank.

The most predicted recession ever maybe won’t happen. Get ready for the ‘asset class recession’

The most predicted recession ever maybe won’t happen. Get ready for the ‘asset class recession’

An asset class recession would hit at a uniquely vulnerable time, as the share of Americans invested in stocks hasn’t been so high since the Great Financial Crisis.

'The credit crunch has started' and it could have big recession implications

'The credit crunch has started' and it could have big recession implications

It was easy to put things on the proverbial credit card during the free money era.

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