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The Latest Breaking News from the Office for Budget Responsibility

Teachers and nurses warn Rachel Reeves of strike action over 2.8% pay rise proposal

Inflation is predicted to average 2.5% this year and 2.6% next year, according to forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility.

The Independent UK

OBR moving to ‘trust but verify’ relationship with Treasury after ‘black hole’ row – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news

The Guardian - UK

Investment drives growth. That’s why gloomy forecasters are so wrong about the budget

The Office for Budget Responsibility’s extreme conservatism means it has woefully underestimated the impact of Labour’s public spending plans

The Guardian - UK

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National Insurance hike could force Scottish care homes to shut doors

CARE homes across Scotland could be forced to shut their doors as a result of the Budget hike in employers’ National Insurance (NI) payments, it…

The National (Scotland)

Reeves admits tax hikes will hit working people as IFS accuses chancellor of ‘undermining trust’

Rachel Reeves was forced to accept that her decision to raise employers’ national insurance contributions will lead to workers being paid less, but asked, ‘what alternative was there?’

The Independent UK

Millions of workers to see £600 pay rise hit from National Insurance hike on businesses, says Budget watchdog

The Office for Budget Responsibility stressed three quarters of the rise in National Insurance on employers would ultimately feed through into lower wage increases for employees

Evening Standard

Post-budget sell-off of government bonds by worried City traders intensifies, pushing up UK borrowing costs – as it happened

Institute for Fiscal Studies says increasing borrowing to fund investment ‘right thing to do’

The Guardian - UK

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Firms ‘set to pass on most of higher tax costs to employees through lower wages’

The Office for Budget Responsibility said it assumes that firms will ‘pass on most but not all of their higher tax costs to employees’.

The Independent UK

Mortgage rates to rise after Rachel Reeves' tax, borrow and spend Budget, says official forecaster

The Chancellor has clashed with the Tories over whether her Budget would push up mortgage bills

Evening Standard

Watch: Office for Budget Responsibility responds to Rachel Reeves’ £40bn tax hikes

Watch as chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) Richard Hughes held a press conference after Labour's Budget was announced on Wednesday, 30 October.

The Independent UK

Autumn budget: Rachel Reeves raises taxes by £40bn and increases spending on NHS and schools – as it happened

Chancellor announces changes to employers’ national insurance contributions, inheritance tax, capital gains tax and other duties

The Guardian - UK

Budget reaction LIVE: Starmer and Reeves defend record tax-rises on hospital visit

Working families with a mortgage face risk of a double blow of higher rates and wage growth slump

Evening Standard

Jeremy Hunt calls on government not to release OBR review into his spending plans

Former chancellor accuses Rachel Reeves of politicising Office for Budget Responsibility by release on budget day

The Guardian - UK

Budget ‘most honest’ in years, Cabinet minister claims

Pat McFadden said Rachel Reeves’ first Budget will ‘end the fiscal fiction of things being announced which had no money set aside for them’.

Evening Standard

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The Guardian - UK

Liz Truss: Tories would have done better in UK election if I had stayed PM

Truss blames Tory MPs, Bank of England and OBR for dire reaction to her mini-budget – and refuses to back any leadership contender

The Independent UK

Rachel Reeves could scrap non-dom tax raid, reports suggest

Officials suggest the government could ditch the manifesto plan if the numbers don’t add up

The Guardian - UK

UK government borrowing hits higher than expected £3.1bn in July

Figures come amid row between Labour and Conservatives over true state of public finances

The National (Scotland)

Scottish Government 'will need to find £100m to mitigate Labour cuts', minister says

THE Scottish Government will have to find around £100 million to mitigate Labour’s cuts to the Winter Fuel Payment, a minister has said ...

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The National (Scotland)

Rachel Reeves issues warning after minister claims finances 'worse than we thought'

RACHEL Reeves has warned she will have to make “difficult decisions” following claims from a minister that the UK's finances are "worse…

The Guardian - UK

Reliance on private sector investment could stifle Labour’s economic mission

In the rush for growth, the cabinet has hit the ground running; but a temporary boost to public borrowing may be the only way to get quick results

The Guardian - UK

Reality check: can Treasury afford pledge to raise tax-free pension allowance?

We look at whether the Conservative pledge for a ‘triple lock plus’ can really be paid for by cracking down on tax avoidance

The Guardian - UK

Trussonomic lessons: what can be learned from former PM’s book?

The anti-growth coalition, Bank of England and the OBR are among those under fire from Liz Truss

Evening Standard

OPINION - All models are wrong (except the Office for Budget Responsibility's Brexit forecasts)

"All models," the British statistician George Box observed, "are wrong, but some are useful." To which we now turn to the Office for Budget Responsibility, whose Brexit forecasts seem to be holding up remarkably well.

The Guardian - UK

UK ‘fiscally offside’ by up to £60bn, Citi fears; house prices rise again – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, as economist warns OBR productivity forecasts are much too optimistic

The Guardian - UK

Tax and spending cuts will backfire, economists warn Jeremy Hunt

Former Treasury aides say the chancellor is courting danger on UK debt and that fiscal rules must go

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