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The Latest Breaking News from Oxford Economics

The UK economy is a long way from blossoming despite glimmers of hope

A deeper recession was avoided only thanks to record immigration, and the MPC is bound to be cautious about cutting interest rates

The Guardian - UK

Bank of England Faces Pressure to Adjust Interest Rates as Inflation Forecasts Take a Surprise Turn

Three prominent forecasters – Oxford Economics, Investec, and Deutsche Bank – have issued updates indicating a potential halving of the inflation rate to two per cent by April, forcing the Bank of England (BoE) to reconsider its timeline for the first interest rate cut.

International Business Times UK

Bank of England Contemplates Earlier Interest Rate Cut Amidst Forecasts of Decreasing Inflation

Three prominent forecasters, including Oxford Economics consultancy, Investec, and Deutsche Bank, have revised their outlook for inflation in 2024.

International Business Times UK

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Bank of England may cut interest rate sooner after surprise inflation forecast

Forecasters at three leading institutions suggest inflation rate will halve to 2% by April

The Guardian - UK

Indonesia's decision to ban nickel ore exports was a surprising success for president Jokowi. Will it work for his successors?

Indonesia wants to leverage its massive nickel reserves to encourage investment in local EV and battery manufacturing. But that may be a tough hill to climb.

Fortune

Disney fires back at Gov. DeSantis in Disney World woke battle

The Mouse House took a bold step to make clear to the governor and Florida voters just how important Disney World is to the state.

The Street

Disney says it has $40 billion economic impact in Florida as it battles DeSantis in court

Disney has released a study showing its economic impact in Florida at $40.3 billion, directly and indirectly through its supply chain and employee spending

The Independent UK

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Europes' largest economy falls further behind US in recession warning

The German economy declined 0.1% in the third quarter, with falling oil demand sounding the latest recession alarms.

Fortune

44 million Americans with student debt are bracing for a 'payment shock.' Many of them are filled with regret

Borrowers are feeling the financial strain.

Fortune

The experience-hungry American consumer is already crashing the economy into a 'rolling recession,' Oxford Economics says

“Instead of a typical recession, it's possible the economy will fall into – or in fact is already in – a 'rolling' recession,” Oren Klachkin, lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, wrote Tuesday.

Fortune

Economic impact BAE Systems has on South West revealed in new report

The research has been conducted by Oxford Economics

Birmingham Post

UK interest rates forecast to jump above 5% this year after higher-than-expected inflation – as it happened

Rolling, live coverage of business, economics and financial markets as consumer price index inflation reaches 8.7%, well above forecasts

The Guardian - UK

US retail sales, industrial production post April gains

Washington (AFP) - Retail sales in the United States returned to growth in April fueled by a rebound in motor vehicle sales, data released Tuesday showed, but not by as much as many expected.

AFP

5 key takeaways from the February US jobs report

The American job market has once again confounded expectations

The Independent UK

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AFP

Rental costs, gasoline prices behind January US inflation: analysts

Washington (AFP) - Rising rents, a gasoline price rebound and vehicle costs helped keep US inflation elevated in January, analysts say, amid signs that policymakers have some way to go in bringing prices down.

AFP

US Fed unveils smaller rate hike but signals inflation fight not over

Washington (AFP) - America's Federal Reserve slowed its pace of interest rate hikes Wednesday, tempering an aggressive campaign to rein in costs as inflation cools while signaling the battle is not yet over.

Bangkok Post

US Fed set to slow rate hikes

WASHINGTON: The US Federal Reserve started the second day of its policy meeting on Wednesday, on growing expectations that it will step down to a smaller interest rate hike as red-hot inflation shows signs of cooling.

AFP

US Fed set to slow rate hikes but signal inflation fight not over

Washington (AFP) - The Federal Reserve starts the second day of its policy meeting Wednesday, on growing expectations that it will step down to a smaller interest rate hike as red-hot inflation shows signs of cooling.

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news in one place.

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Tribune News Service

Survey: The US economy has a 64% chance of entering a recession this year

More likely than not, the U.S. economy will enter a recession this year, Bankrate’s Fourth-Quarter Economic Indicator poll found.

The Independent UK

US recession a growing fear as Fed plans to keep rates high

After scaling 40-year highs, inflation in the United States has been slowly easing since summer

Evening Standard

Tax-free shopping is a simple gift for growth

Not only is British spending moving to the EU, but global brands are also revising their capital investment plans as a result of the lack of tax-free shopping

Bangkok Post

Global goods trade forecast to shrink in 2023

The global goods trade will shrink next year in a downturn reminiscent of previous recessions, Oxford Economics said, in a worrying forecast for Asia’s export-dependent economies and beyond.

Reuters

China COVID cases rise, hard-hit Beijing tightens entry rules

China's capital warned on Monday that it was facing its most severe test of the COVID-19 pandemic, shutting businesses and schools in hard-hit districts and tightening rules for entering the city as infections ticked higher in Beijing and nationally.

Birmingham Post

Nine in 100 working in Exeter are employed at the University, new report shows

Report details how the the university creates employment, helps business through research and helps graduates get higher paid jobs

The Independent UK

Kwarteng’s tax-slashing bonanza will add less than 0.1% to GDP, study warns

‘Growth plan’ which has triggered market mayhem dismissed as ‘all pain, little gain’

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