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The Latest Breaking News from Opinium

Why did the election polls overstate Labour’s lead?

Surveys consistently showed a landslide for Starmer’s party, but predictions were wide of the mark

The Guardian - UK

Senior Tories line up to denounce Nigel Farage’s defence of Putin’s war

Conservatives are desperate to halt the rise of Reform UK, which is splitting their party in two

The Guardian - UK

Tory stumbles drive Labour to near-record 20-point poll lead

Latest Opinium survey shows gap with Labour widening after another week of Conservative gaffes, while Reform rises two points to 16%

The Guardian - UK

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Starmer’s growth plan ‘doomed’ without access to EU markets, warn economists

Labour leader told if elected he will have to rejoin the customs union to meet party’s manifesto pledges, while 56% of voters say Brexit was bad for economy

The Guardian - UK

Tories and Labour on course for lowest share of the vote since 1945

Poll reveals historically low support for the big two, with smaller parties up by five points

The Guardian - UK

Labour pledges 80 new rape courts in bid to tackle backlog crisis

Plan for specialist unit in all police forces amid manifesto drive to reduce violence against women and girls

The Guardian - UK

Rishi Sunak’s chances were always slim. And the numbers just get worse

Polls show longstanding Tory advantages on issues such as immigration, crime and defence are gone, while Labour opens new leads in traditional areas

The Guardian - UK

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Labour races to biggest lead over the Tories in the polls since Liz Truss downfall

Labour stretches lead to 20 points despite difficult week of campaigning overshadowed by internal party row

The Independent UK

Third of voters believe Starmer was wrong to let Elphicke into Labour party

In latest Opinium poll, only 16% say accepting rightwing Tory MP’s defection was the right move – against 33% who see it as a mistake

The Guardian - UK

Labour shifts poll tactics to target fearful Tory over-65s

Alarm grows over possible pension cuts as research suggests Jeremy Hunt tax cut announcement was ‘blunder’

The Guardian - UK

Only four in 10 Tory voters from 2019 back Sunak – poll

Opinium’s latest research for Observer finds voters deserting the Conservatives for Reform and Labour in equal numbers

The Guardian - UK

Changing Tory leader could result in even larger Labour landslide, new poll shows

Labour lead would soar to 24 points if Kemi Badenoch or Suella Braverman became leader according to Opinium poll

The Guardian - UK

Hunt’s budget backfires as twice as many voters say taxes will rise – poll

Labour’s lead over Tories increases to 16 points as chancellor’s plans suffer reverse of a budget bounce, according to Observer Opinium survey

The Guardian - UK

More than half of Tory members in poll say Islam a threat to British way of life

Figure for party is twice proportion among overall population and comes amid row over Lee Anderson comments about Sadiq Khan

The Guardian - UK

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The Guardian - UK

Think Tories are Islamophobic? You don’t know the half of it – we have the figures

We’ve surveyed Conservative members, and it’s clear that the radical right is winning the battle for the party’s soul, say Nick Lowles, chief executive of Hope Not Hate

The Guardian - UK

Voters think Labour would be better than Conservatives on housing and house prices

Opposition would do better on issues including the economy, health, education, the environment, immigration and crime, public says

The Guardian - UK

Ed Davey’s approval rating takes a big hit from the Post Office scandal

Letter shows the Lib Dem leader initially refused to meet a campaigner when he was a minister responsible for the service

The Guardian - UK

Brexit has completely failed for UK, say clear majority of Britons – poll

Only one in 10 feel leaving the EU has helped their finances, while just 9% say it has benefited the NHS, despite £350m a week pledge

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The Guardian - UK

Reform UK leader gives ‘guarantee’ that it won’t step aside for Tories at election

Richard Tice assures senior members of his party in writing that he will not revive Brexit party’s 2019 deal with Conservatives

The Guardian - UK

Farage plans return to ‘help Reform UK make election about immigration’

The former Brexit party leader intends to ‘shape politics’ before the UK goes to the polls in 2024, his allies claim

The Guardian - UK

Sadiq Khan urges progressives to back him amid concern about new voting system

The London mayor fears most voters are unaware of the change to a first past the post system that may boost the Tory candidate

The Guardian - UK

No bounce for the Tories after tax-cutting budget, poll shows

Opinium poll for the Observer reveals the public is unimpressed with Jeremy Hunt’s attempt to woo them by trimming national insurance

The Independent UK

Keir Starmer set for general election landslide bigger than Blair in 1997, poll suggests

Poll comes as Sir Keir’s party has been plagued by infighting over whether to call for a ceasefire in Gaza

The Guardian - UK

Labour seen as more divided by voters after tension over conflict in Gaza

The latest Opinium poll shows Keir Starmer’s personal rating has slumped but the Tories are also suffering from internal divisions

The Guardian - UK

Labour leads Conservatives over home ownership, new UK poll shows

Government falls further behind opposition in latest Opinium survey

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