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The Latest Breaking News from Keir Giles

What happened in the Russia-Ukraine war this week? Catch up with the must-read news and analysis

A mutiny launched by Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin fizzled out in 24 hours but the aftershocks will continue to be felt for months – and beyond

The Guardian - AU

Ukraine’s biggest enemy is the western belief that it cannot beat Putin. Now is the time to rethink that

We must think beyond helping Kyiv survive and aim for Zelenskiy to actually win, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

‘All bets are off’: An uncertain future after Wagner mutiny

Speculation abounds on social media, but experts warn against drawing conclusions on the fate of the Wagner Group.

Al Jazeera

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Prigozhin and Wagner could not challenge Putin’s power directly, but they exposed his weakening grip

The insurrection wasn’t going stop the war: Prigozhin shared Putin’s aims in Ukraine. But a distracted Russia is good for the world

The Guardian - UK

Vladimir Putin is a 'death cult' leader who could still nuke Ukraine unless West acts

To stop this "death cult" act, Vladimir Putin needs to be told what the apocalyptic consequences to Russia would be if he nuked Ukraine, an expert has said

Daily Mirror

Russia is losing – but has anyone told Putin?

Ukraine – a year of war: Even this week, the president showed how detached he remains from reality. The result, writes Keir Giles, is clear: a conflict with no end in sight

The Independent UK

Vladimir Putin in chilling 'global conflict' warning as he appears to issue nuclear threat

An expert on security issues affecting Russia explained that while the threats are subtle, they are still present

Irish Mirror

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Essentialising 'Russia' won't end the war against Ukraine. Might 'real and credible' force be the answer?

Russia’s War on Everybody, by UK writer Keir Giles, is an alarming book. It argues that for years Russia has been waging “a clandestine war against the West”.

The Conversation

Vladimir Putin in warning over World War 3 'global conflict' as he issues nuclear threat

During his State of the Nation speech today, the Russian leader threatened to take fighting cross-border and appeared to justify the use of nuclear weapons.

Daily Record

Britain was meant to be supporting fleeing Ukrainians. Instead, we’re failing them

The government left the job of helping refugees to local authorities and volunteers. Now the system is at risk of collapse, says author Keir Giles

The Guardian - UK

Why the battle for Kherson is so significant to a desperate Vladimir Putin

As Ukraine gains ground and pushes Russian forces back, one city looms large as key to its victory. Kherson is the last regional capital under Russian control, losing it would be a blow to Vladimir Putin.

ABC News

Ukraine won back territory and support, but Russia will test the west’s resolve again

Talk of nuclear escalation or attacks on pipelines may be far-fetched at present, but Moscow has other levers at its disposal, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Putin is admitting his previous threats were hollow by saying ‘this is not a bluff’

The Russian leader’s fantastical speech shows he recognises that his country is losing its war on Ukraine, says Keir Giles of the Russia programme at Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Putin needs a drawn-out war – the west’s timidity gives him one

President Zelenskiy and Ukraine want it finished by winter, but Russia still holds the balance of power, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

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Daily Mirror

Vladimir Putin hits back at 'death's door' rumours with 'impressive' 72-MINUTE speech

Keir Giles, senior fellow of the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House, told The Mirror that Putin 'will have been keen to play down the swirling rumours about his health', in landmark speech

The Independent UK

The battle of Donbas could prove decisive in Ukraine war

Day after day, Russia is pounding the Donbas region of Ukraine with relentless artillery and air raids, making slow but steady progress to seize the industrial heartland of its neighbor

The Independent UK

Smashed buildings in Mariupol produce 'caravan of death'

The human cost of the war in Ukraine mounted as workers pulled up to 100 bodies from each smashed building in the devastated city of Mariupol

The Guardian - UK

It’s too soon to celebrate Putin’s losses – the hard miles are yet to come for Ukraine

Kyiv faces economic devastation, citizens ‘removed’ by Russia and the risk of dwindling support, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

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The Guardian - UK

Putin’s price for ‘peace’? Claiming victory, regardless of the truth

Even tiny territorial gains will allow Russia to declare success, regroup and wait to reopen hostilities at a time of its choosing, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

White House says the US has evidence that the war against Ukraine has been ‘a strategic disaster’ – as it happened

Germany, France and the UK reject Russia’s demand to pay for gas in roubles; Kremlin announces further sanctions for EU leaders

The Guardian - UK

Only total military failure will curb Putin’s ambitions in Ukraine

Any small gains will be spun as victory by the Kremlin. The west needs to support Ukraine to defeat Russian aggression, says Keir Giles of Chatham House’s Russia and Eurasia programme

The Guardian - UK

This is Russia’s way of war. Putin has no qualm about medieval levels of brutality

The playbook involves besieging cities, targeting civilians and starvation – we can’t abandon Ukraine to this terrible fate, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

The west has a duty to help defend Ukraine – and to help Russia by ensuring its defeat

A significant military setback would force Russia to finally reassess its place in the modern world, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Putin’s speech harked back to Russia’s empire – the threat doesn’t stop at Ukraine

Moscow is acting with total disregard for European norms. The west’s line of military defence must now be bolstered, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

The west’s focus on imminent invasion in Ukraine may backfire – and bolster Putin

The US risks embarrassing itself and its intelligence if Russia chooses an option other than invasion, says Chatham House’s Keir Giles

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