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The Latest Breaking News from Bernstein

Jonathan Bernstein: How to read Biden’s low approval ratings right now

This is a big week for President Joe Biden. For months, he’s had the second-worst approval rating of any polling-era president at the same point in their presidencies, trailing only Donald Trump. This week, he has passed Jimmy Carter, moving up into third worst. Within the next month, he’ll likely…

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Jonathan Bernstein: A judge says Trump broke the law. Here’s why that matters

The congressional committee investigating the Jan. 6 riot at the U.S. Capitol last year still hasn’t started overdue public hearings. But it it has now produced an important legal opinion from a federal judge stating that the “illegality” of the course of action President Donald Trump embarked upon after losing…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Trump, Mo Brooks and the Republican endorsement game

I have to admit: I have no idea how Republicans are going to react to Donald Trump’s latest scam.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Why are we still waiting for the Capitol riot hearings?

Most of the time I think that some of the things that political scientists and smart journalists are teaching are getting through. And then, sometimes, we get something like this from an unnamed member of the committee of the House of Representatives that’s investigating the assault on the U.S. Capitol…

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Jonathan Bernstein: On ballot or not, 2024 GOP race is all about Trump

The early stages of the 2024 Republican presidential nomination contest are picking up steam. Former President Donald Trump continues to all-but-officially run for the 2024 nomination, although that doesn’t guarantee that he’ll actually run. The small anti-Trump faction of the party appears to have at least three candidates, the most…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Why Biden isn’t trying to sound like Churchill

President Joe Biden’s public statement Tuesday morning announcing a U.S. cutoff of Russian oil was an excellent example of how words matter when they come out of presidential mouths — and how multiple audiences complicate the presidency.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Ukraine and the price of Republican rejectionism

One of the lessons for U.S. politics of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is that it points out the risks for the out-party of pure rejectionism — simply opposing whatever the party in power says and does.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Five ways to look at Biden’s State of the Union speech

The State of the Union, more than any other presidential address, is a heavily negotiated speech. Presidents are always speaking to multiple audiences, but never more than when they fulfill their constitutional obligation to “give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union.”

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Jonathan Bernstein: Come on, Jan. 6 committee! get your act together

Where are the hearings?

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Jonathan Bernstein: Don’t panic, Joe Biden. Be like Reagan

The New York Times reports that President Joe Biden: “Will retreat from the tangle of day-to-day negotiations with members of his own party that have made him seem powerless to advance key priorities, according to senior White House advisers. The change is part of an intentional reset in how he…

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