In case you haven’t figured it out, this weekend is an extremely pivotal week that will go a long way to determining what four teams make the 2022 College Football Playoff.
That’s because there’s a massive showdown between No. 2 Ohio State and No. 3 Michigan, as well as rivalry games across this great country of ours like Notre Dame vs. No. 6 USC. The No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs also have a tricky game against Iowa State, so one way or another, we’re going to have a better idea of what things look like.
But before that, the popular analytics website FiveThirtyEight has updated their College Football Playoff Predictions heading into this week after the latest round of College Football Playoff rankings were unveiled. It’s a pretty close call, but there is some clear separation, and really only about seven teams that have a legitimate shot at playing for confetti to rain down.
Here are the latest College Football Playoff Predictions from FiveThirtyEight, with teams that have at least a 5% chance or greater of making the CFP heading into Week 13 — Rivalry Week.
10
Alabama Crimson Tide (9-2)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
5% (⇑)
Chances if win out
7%
9
Kansas State Wildcats (8-3)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
10% (⇑)
Chances if win out
26%
8
Oregon Ducks (9-2)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
11% (⇑)
Chances if win out
36%
7
LSU Tigers (9-2)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
24% (⇑)
Chances if win out
97%
6
USC Trojans (10-1)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
32% (⇑)
Chances if win out
88%
5
Michigan Wolverines (11-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
46% (⇑)
Chances if win out
>99%
4
Clemson Tigers (10-1)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
48% (⇑)
Chances if win out
75%
3
TCU Horner Frogs (11-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
57% (⇑)
Chances if win out
>99%
2
Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
73% (⇑)
Chances if win out
>99%
1
Georgia Bulldogs (11-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
85% (⇓)
Chances if win out
>99%
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