Nottingham Forest have had their Premier League fate predicted after a difficult start to their first campaign back in the top flight for 23 years.
Forest suffered another heavy defeat at the weekend, this time 5-0 at Arsenal to go with a 4-0 surrender at Leicester City and a 6-0 capitulation at Manchester City. It all means that Steve Cooper's side are bottom of the league, three points away from safety, with just two wins to their name.
Another two league games will follow before Forest break for the World Cup, and they will be hoping that playing those fixtures at home will pay off as they look to collect as many points as possible to climb out of danger.
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Up next for them is Brentford this Saturday (3pm kick-off), followed by a midweek Carabao Cup clash against Tottenham Hotspur on November 9 (7.45pm kick-off) before Crystal Palace visit the City Ground on Saturday, November 12 (3pm).
Following the latest round of Premier League games, data experts at FiveThirtyEight have updated their supercomputer verdict on who will excel in the Premier League this season and who will face a battle to avoid the drop into the Championship come May.
For Forest, that is looking like a rapid return to the second tier with the Reds predicted to end the campaign right where they are now - bottom of the pile. According to the FiveThirtyEight number-crunchers, Forest will add 21 points to their current total of nine over the reminder of the season to finish on 30. They also predict relegation for Bournemouth (34 points), promoted with Forest last May, and Wolves (36 points).
Given Forest's results so far, they only have 29% chance of surviving the drop, according to FiveThirtyEight.
Leicester City, Forest's East Midlands top-flight rivals, are also having a difficult season, and lost to Manchester City at the weekend. However, they are expected to survive, finish 14th on 42 points.
Another struggling team at the moment are Leeds United, who like Forest have beaten Liverpool in the past week to revive their survival hopes. According to FiveThirtyEight, Jesse Marsch's men will end up in 16th on 41 points - safe for another season.
FiveThirtyEight's predicted final PL bottom half
Position - Team / Points / GD
11. Brentford / 44 / -13
12. Fulham / 44 / -16
13. Aston Villa / 43 / -15
14. Leicester City / 42 / -10
15. Everton / 41 / -13
16. Leeds United / 41 / -15
17. Southampton / 39 / -22
18. Wolves / 36 / -26
19. Bournemouth / 34 / -38
20. Nottingham Forest / 30 / -42
Where do you think Forest will finish this season? Let us know in the comments section...
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