We are less than one week away from the first release of the 2022 College Football rankings, and we have a much better idea of where everything stands with who are contenders and who is not when it comes to being one of the four teams that get into the field.
There are six undefeated teams in Football Bowl Subdivision: Georgia, Ohio State, Tennessee, Michigan, Clemson and TCU. That doesn’t mean each has an equal shot at reaching the College Football Playoff — far from it in fact.
We like to keep an eye on FiveThirtyEight and its playoff prediction model to see what the analytics say about the College Football Playoff, and there have been some major changes over the last couple of weeks as undefeated teams continue to fall on the sword.
In the most recent playoff predictions, FiveThirtyEight has a rare treat, two Big Ten teams with a couple of the best four odds to play for all of the trophies and confetti. There’s still a long way to go, but here’s what the popular analytics website says about the teams with the best chance of reaching the College Football Playoff.
As a side note, we’re only including those teams with a double-digit percentage chance or better because it’s unlikely any team comes from outside of this population. You can head on over and play around yourself to see what happens if certain teams lose, win out, or win the conference.
USC Trojans (6-1)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
12% (⇑)
Chances if win out
60%
Oregon Ducks (6-1)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
13% (⇑)
Chances if win out
72%
Oklahoma State (6-1)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
15% (⇑)
Chances if win out
94%
TCU Horned Frogs (7-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
27% (⇑)
Chances if win out
>99%
Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
31% (⇑)
Chances if win out
99%
Tennessee Volunteers (7-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
37% (⇑)
Chances if win out
>99%
Michigan Wolverines (7-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
38% (⇑)
Chances if win out
>99%
Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
60% (⇑)
Chances if win out
>99%
Clemson Tigers (8-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
61% (⇑)
Chances if win out
>99%
Georgia Bulldogs (7-0)
Chances of making the College Football Playoff
62% (⇑)
Chances if win out
>99%
