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Bristol Post
Bristol Post
Health
Ellie Kemp & Ellie Kendall

New Covid variant XBB.1.5 could pile more pressure on NHS, doctors warn

Doctors have warned that a new coronavirus variant 'already linked to one in 25 cases in the UK' could pile more pressure on the NHS, after already causing alarm in the USA. It comes as the health service continues to battle a variety of winter illnesses, including an increasing number of flu cases.

The latest Covid strain, which has been called XXB.1.5, is said to already make up some 40.5% of Covid-19 cases nationally in America, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and it is also thought that the strain has mutations which allow for the virus to infect more people quickly and bypass immunity. However, despite its ease of infecting more people quickly, experts have said that there is so far no indication that the XBB.1.5 strain is a more severe illness than previous variants.

The variant is itself a mutated version of the Omicron XBB strain, detected in Singapore, India and 33 other countries back in October, according to the World Health Service and around 4% of coronavirus cases in the week to December 17 were caused by XBB1.5, the Sanger Institute (one of the UK's largest Covid surveillance centres) reports. Professor Lawrence Young, a virologist at Warwick University, told MailOnline that the new mutated variant is a 'wakeup call' and could exacerbate the NHS crisis.

Read more: Covid cases in Bristol area 'more than 90,000' as 2022 comes to an end

He said: "The XBB.1.5 variant is highly infectious and is driving increased hospital admissions in New York, particularly among the elderly. Waning immunity, more indoor mixing because of the cold weather and lack of other mitigations, such as wearing facemasks, are also contributing to this surge of infection in the US.

"We don't know how this variant is going to behave in the UK in a population that has been previously exposed to other Omicron variants and where many of the over 50s have had booster shots with a bivalent vaccine. Nevertheless, this is a wakeup call — a sharp reminder that we can't be complacent about Covid. The threat of XBB.1.5 and other Covid variants further exacerbating the current NHS crisis stresses the need for us to remain vigilant.

"We need to continue to monitor levels of infection with different variants in the UK, encourage those who are eligible to get their boosters shots — why not extend this to the under 50s? — and promote the value of other mitigation measures."

It comes as a leading health official said the current pressure on the NHS is 'equivalent' to that of the early stage of the pandemic, Manchester Evening News reports. Saffron Cordery, interim chief executive of NHS Providers, said that now the pressure is coming from various directions, including staff shortages, lack of investment, a worn-out workforce and a backlog of operations, as well as a continuation of Covid and flu cases.

In November, 37,837 patients waited more than 12 hours in A&E for a decision to be admitted to a hospital department, according to figures from NHS England. This is an increase of almost 355% compared with the previous November, when an estimated 10,646 patients waited longer than 12 hours.

More than a dozen NHS Trusts and ambulance services declared critical incidents over the festive period, with some critically-ill patients reportedly waiting hours for a bed. Ambulances have been left unable to pick up those in need because they have been stuck waiting to hand over patients to hospital.

Last week, one in five ambulance patients in England waited more than an hour to be handed over to A&E teams. NHS trusts have a target of 95% of all ambulance handovers to be completed within 30 minutes, and 100% within 60 minutes.

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