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Barchart
Barchart
Rashmi Kumari

Is D.R. Horton Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq?

D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI), headquartered in Arlington, Texas, with a significant market presence and a strong reputation in the home construction industry, stands as a leader in providing high-quality residential housing solutions. With a market cap of $49.4 billion, known for its commitment to craftsmanship, innovation, and community development, D.R. Horton focuses on delivering exceptional homeownership experiences while fostering sustainable growth and meeting the diverse needs of its clients across the U.S.

Companies with a market cap of $10 billion or more are classified as “large-cap stocks,” D.R. Horton fits this category. D.R. Horton delivers reliable and forward-thinking residential solutions by combining innovative construction techniques, diverse housing options, and a strong commitment to sustainable community development. 

Shares of D.R. Horton have fallen 24.3% from its 52-week high of $199.85, which it hit on Sep. 19. The stock is down 19.9% over the past three months, significantly underperforming the broader Nasdaq Composite’s ($NASX13.3% gain during the same time frame.

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Over the long term, DHI has experienced a slight decline on a YTD basis but has posted an 8.2% gain over the past 52 weeks. In comparison, the NASX has risen 32.6% in 2024 and 37% over the same time frame.

Since late October, DHI has been trading below its 50-day moving average and has remained below its 200-day moving average since early December, signaling a bearish trend.

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Shares of D.R. Horton dropped 7.2% following the release of its Q4 earnings on Oct. 29. The company reported adjusted EPS of $3.92, falling short of the consensus estimate of $4.20 and representing an 11.9% year-over-year decline. Q4 revenue came in at $10 billion, down 4.8% year-over-year and missing analyst projections of $10.25 billion, reflecting ongoing pressures on performance and weaker-than-expected results.

D.R. Horton has issued its initial guidance for fiscal 2025, projecting consolidated revenues between $36.0 billion and $37.5 billion, with home closings ranging from 90,000 to 92,000 units. 

D.R. Horton's primary competitor, Lennar Corporation (LEN), has outperformed DHI over the past year. Shares of Lennar rallied 4.3% in 2024 and 10.6% over the past year.

Wall Street analysts hold a cautiously optimistic view of DHI's prospects. Of the 19 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is “Moderate Buy.” Its mean price target of $190.65 indicates a potential upside of 26.1% from its current level.

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