UPDATED: 14 NOV 2022 06:47 PM EST
Kevin McCarthy's allies have attempted to sway at least one moderate Democrat to the GOP side of the aisle in recent days, according to a person with knowledge of the situation — a sign of desperation as he searches for the 218 votes he'll need to become House speaker next year.
Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas) has received calls from multiple people close to McCarthy, including one current and one former member, as the California Republican attempts to lock down support amid a burgeoning conservative rebellion, the person said. Cuellar repeatedly rejected the idea.
McCarthy and his staff were not part of the entreaties, first reported by the Wall Street Journal, and denied any involvement. When Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) asked the GOP leader in a conference meeting Monday afternoon if he would solicit Democratic votes for speaker, McCarthy replied "no," according to a person in the room.
"Anyone suggesting this is simply exercising in fan fiction. Leader McCarthy is going to be elected Speaker by the current and newly-elected members of the House Republican Conference. Our efforts are exclusively focused on bringing our conference together and saving the country," Mark Bednar, a McCarthy spokesperson, said in a statement.
Yet the outreach from Republicans close to him comes as he prepares to take his first step toward the speakership this week — one that's looking increasingly like a leap into chaos.
And the outreach to Democrats, addressed on condition of anonymity, could backfire among conservatives in his conference whose votes he also needs. In a forum with other members earlier Monday, Gaetz referenced the GOP leader making calls to Democrats by saying that “if Kevin McCarthy can call Democrats for votes for the speakership, I can call them" to push for House rules changes.
As Republicans begin grappling with the reality of a much smaller majority next year than they’d hoped, the GOP leader’s once-clear ascent to the top House gavel is now under threat from the right. It's an echo of the circumstances that helped derail his 2015 bid for the spot. And a full picture of his problems could emerge as soon as Tuesday, when McCarthy is slated to be nominated as the GOP conference’s pick for speaker and the House Freedom Caucus is preparing to put forward a symbolic challenger.
That nomination should prove easy for McCarthy to snag, given that it only requires a majority of House Republicans to agree on supporting him. But it comes as some members of the pro-Trump Freedom Caucus weigh a two-step plan that’s designed to topple him. The Californian could also have to stare down emboldened centrists who are ready to press him for concessions of their own.
McCarthy's race isn't the only one experiencing some post-election shakeups.
Rep. Darin LaHood (R-Ill.) called Rep. Richard Hudson (R-N.C.) on Monday to tell him that LaHood was dropping out of the two-man race to lead the National Republican Congressional Committee, citing a desire to focus on family and his congressional panels — which include the powerful Ways and Means and Intelligence Committees. That leaves Hudson uncontested.
Meanwhile, conservatives want Tuesday's scheduled leadership elections postponed until control of the House is certain. If McCarthy doesn't agree, they plan to nominate Rep. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.) as an internal pick for speaker to demonstrate that the Californian doesn’t have the 218 GOP votes he needs when the full chamber votes on Jan. 3. Biggs announced on Newsmax that he'll be nominated for speaker during Republicans’ conference meeting on Tuesday.
Depending on how that first step plays out, more conservatives would then embrace an alternative pick to put forward as a consensus candidate, added this Republican — who said some signs are pointing to Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) as the Freedom Caucus' consensus choice.
When asked about Biggs' potential challenge, McCarthy said: "I think it is great. Competition makes people better.”
Still, it’s a risky gambit that’s clearly still in flux as the conference churns toward a leadership election that conservatives want to delay, a sentiment aired by Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas) on Twitter on Sunday night. And it's not clear how much McCarthy's rival-turned-ally Jordan knows about the right flank's plan, although outside supporters aren't hiding their views on the matter.
“We have an opportunity to have a paradigm-shattering victory [on] the speakership, to either be able to get Jim Jordan in as speaker — I don't care if he's not running right now — or to have a coalitional-style government where every decision goes through HFC," Russ Vought, a Trump-era White House budget director aiding the plan from outside the Capitol, told Trump ally Steve Bannon during a Friday interview
Gaetz, who’s not a Freedom Caucus member, has also publicly touted Jordan as the best speakership candidate despite the Ohioan’s repeated public avowals to support McCarthy.
The Freedom Caucus is making a public push for institutional concessions from McCarthy, like restoring lawmakers’ ability to depose the speaker, adding more of their members to the conference’s influential Steering Committee, and more. While those demands are genuine, they also give cover to members who expect to oppose McCarthy even if every condition is granted.
"The one thing you’ve got to think about, it’s going to be a tight majority, so everyone’s going to have to work together," McCarthy told reporters when asked about rules changes. "We’ll be successful as a team or we’ll get defeated as an individual.”
And it's not just the GOP leader who's against some of those reforms.
"I’m absolutely opposed to" strengthening the ability to depose the speaker, said Oklahoma Rep. Tom Cole, the top Republican on the Rules Committee. "I don’t think every member ought to be able to hold the speaker hostage.”
Importantly, the conservative group is not fully involved in the nascent anti-McCarthy plan — although chair Rep. Scott Perry (R-Pa.) is involved — and it could fail entirely. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), for one, told Bannon on Monday that she was bearish on any attempt to undercut McCarthy.
"It's very, very risky right now to produce a leadership challenge, especially for Speaker of the House, when they are going to open the door and allow Liz Cheney, possibly to become speaker," Greene said, adding that McCarthy "already has pretty much the entire conference, except for the challenge that has been produced in the past few days."
Not to mention that McCarthy’s allies are long tired of Freedom Caucus scheming, dating back to the right flank’s role in destroying his dreams of the speakership seven years ago.
"These palace intrigue stories are premature and they are still counting votes. What I can tell you for sure is that Mr. Jordan looks forward to chairing the Judiciary Committee next Congress," Jordan spokesperson Russell Dye said when asked for comment about the anti-McCarthy plan.
A Perry spokesperson did not immediately return a request for comment on the plan, the second phase of which is being more closely held than the first.
McCarthy backers point out that he’s unlikely to go quietly if the Freedom Caucus tries to pull him into crisis again. When he bowed out of speakership contention in 2015, he said he did so “for the betterment of the conference.” This time, supporters will encourage him to push back against any resistance.
And things will only get more bitter as Republicans move to elect their next No. 3.
Whips, cracked
There are no current signs of internal trouble for McCarthy’s No. 2, Rep. Steve Scalise (R-La.), who would ascend to majority leader in a GOP House. The race for majority whip is another story.
Three powerful contenders are vying for the whip role, the highest-ranked open leadership position in years. Reps. Tom Emmer (R-Minn.), Jim Banks (R-Ind.) and Drew Ferguson (R-Ga.) are sprinting to lock up support ahead of Tuesday’s scheduled vote — including commitments if the vote goes to a second ballot, which many Republicans credit as the secret to former Speaker John Boehner’s early rise.
The first step comes Monday, when GOP lawmakers will get to hear from the three candidates and ask questions about their records. As House GOP campaigns chief, Emmer may be pressed about the party’s disappointing performance in the midterms, which ended with far fewer pickups than the dozens of seats previously projected.
Emmer allies insist he can power to victory even as the majority remains uncalled, having won seats two cycles in a row leading the National Republican Congressional Committee. Ferguson, the current chief deputy whip, is pitching members that he’ll have the least steep learning curve in the job, which will likely be useful with tighter margins.
And Banks, the Republican Study Committee chair, has sought to present himself as the most conservative option, broadcasting loudly his close ties to Trump world. Emmer has faced criticism over voting for same-sex marriage protections, which he was questioned on during a candidate forum Monday.
“These divisive social issues shouldn’t be brought to the House floor," Emmer responded, according to a person in the room.
The vote will take place by secret ballot, giving members a measure of protection from outside scrutiny.
A favorite at No. 4
The other contested House Republican leadership battle is that for the conference chair post. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) is widely seen as poised to win a second term in the GOP messaging role, though she’s had to campaign harder than expected for it amid a challenge from Freedom Caucus member Rep. Byron Donalds (R-Fla.).
One of two Black House Republicans, Donalds has said his challenge is less about Stefanik and more about offering an alternative for members who want to go in a different direction from the current slate. He is also pitching himself as someone who can inspire younger and more diverse converts to conservatism.
Stefanik, the top-ranked woman in congressional Republican leadership, is making the case that she has the experience and strong marks for her stewardship of conference messaging after the party tapped her to replace ousted Trump critic Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.).
Andrew Desiderio and Anthony Adragna contributed to this report.
