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Biden faces political risks amid Israeli-Palestinian conflict and party fractures

Iran denies involvement in October 7th attack, Hamas claims it was about Al-Aqsa Mosque.

Title: Political Dynamics and Challenges in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

The recent conflict between Israel and Hamas has resulted in a dispute between Iran and Hamas regarding the motivations behind the October 7th attack. Iran claims that the attack was in retaliation for the assassination of Iranian commander Soleimani by a U.S. airstrike in 2020, while Hamas refutes this claim and states that it was actually about the Al-Aqsa Mosque. This dispute highlights the complex dynamics at play even among allied entities.

It is evident that Iran has been a longstanding supporter of Hamas, providing backing for many years. However, it is important to note that Iran did not orchestrate the October 7th attack conducted by Hamas. In fact, tensions have been brewing between Hamas and Iran as Hamas hoped for more aggressive actions against Israel following Soleimani's assassination. Both Hamas and Iran have refrained from directly attacking Israel, leading to frustration and anger within Hamas towards Iran.

Hamas has taken full credit for the attack, and they should bear the responsibility for their actions. The vile nature of the attack warrants appropriate consequences for the group. Meanwhile, amidst the ongoing conflict, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's advisor, Ron Dermer, has engaged in discussions with officials from the Biden administration in Washington. The focus of these talks is on Israel's plans for de-escalation under increasing domestic and global pressure.

The influence of the Biden administration over the Israeli government cannot be underestimated. President Biden enjoys popularity among the Israeli people and has credibility in Israeli politics. This influence is sought to encourage Israel to not only fight for its security against Hamas but also pursue a political resolution that benefits both Israelis and Palestinians. It is recognized that Hamas cannot be fully defeated through military means alone, thus the need for a political horizon that offers hope for the Palestinian people.

While the Biden administration has close ties to Israel and is seen as an ally, the complexities of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict involve more than just these two parties. Arab countries play a significant role in shaping the peace process, and their pressure on the White House could be influential. Additionally, concerns over the welfare of more than a hundred hostages, including Americans, held in Gaza, and the ongoing humanitarian crisis also factor into the equation.

As the conflict continues, the political risks for President Biden become apparent. In his own party, there is anger and sympathy for the Palestinians, particularly due to the destruction in Gaza. Simultaneously, there remains significant support for Israel. The issue has sparked debates, causing fractures within the Democratic Party and straining coalitions that have previously worked together. The upcoming election year further amplifies the political sensitivity surrounding this matter.

President Biden, being a unique voice, holds the potential to bridge gaps and engage with various groups. His ability to reach out to individuals with differing opinions sets him apart and garners support across the Democratic Party. However, the current situation poses challenges within the party, as emotions run high and opinions differ on the best approach to address the crisis.

In conclusion, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is marked by intricate political dynamics and challenges. Disputes between Iran and Hamas, as well as concerns over the Biden administration's influence and the political risks faced by President Biden, underscore the complexity of the situation. It remains to be seen how these challenges will be navigated and how long the current level of support for and concern over the Palestinians and Israel will persist.

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