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Investors Business Daily
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MATT KRANTZ

11 Value Stocks Are Dirt Cheap — But Won't Stay That Way For Long

Value stocks in the S&P 500 are perking up. And investors are moving fast to buy some up while they're still cheap.

Eleven stocks in the S&P 500 Pure Value index — including utility NRG Energy, energy firm Valero Energy and consumer staples firm Kroger — have jumped 20% or more so far this year. Those gains easily top the S&P 500's 9.3% gain and the 12.3% rise of the SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF. What's amazing is that these are the cheapest stocks in the S&P 500 — totally opposite the pricey megacap growth stocks that have been leading for so long.

Value stocks are starting to perk up following years of lagging. "Mixed messages on labor conditions and inflation are confounding market participants and causing bifurcated action across equities and fixed income," said Jose Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers.

S&P 500 Value Is Perking Up

You'd be forgiven if you've written off value stocks. They've performed so poorly for so long, some investors think they'll never come back.

But a funny thing happened in March. Value stocks in the S&P 500 rallied. The SPDR Portfolio S&P Value ETF is up 2.6% since March. That edges out the S&P 500's 2.2% rise in that time. And it also tops the 1.8% rise of the SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF.

Granted, it's not huge outperformance. And value stocks still lag for the year so far. But there's no shortage of value stocks doing even better than the index indicates.

Value Stocks Pulling Ahead

When it comes to a value stock that's on fire, it's hard to ignore NRG Energy. Shares of the Houston-based utility firm are up more than 39% this year.

It's the top performer in the S&P 500 Pure Value index this year. The shares trades for just 11 times normalized earnings in the next 12 months. Compare that to the nosebleed valuation of growth stock darling Nvidia, which trades for 106 times earnings in the last 12 months.

And yet, NRG only yields 2.4%, which isn't the fat dividend many value investors look for. Investors, though, are looking for stability. The company's profit is seen rising 6.5% this year and 13.8% in 2025.

Other S&P 500 Value Winners

Powered by rising oil prices, several energy stocks are turning on the jets.

Valero Energy is up nearly 39% this year. It's not a profit growth story. The company's adjusted profit per share is seen falling more than 30% this year and 18% in 2025. But it's a story of things perhaps not being as bad as feared.

The United States Oil Fund ETF, a proxy for oil prices, is up roughly 20% this year. Valero stock also yields 2.4%, paying investors to wait for an improvement in the business. Another stability play is grocer Kroger. Shares are up more than 26% this year. Analysts think the company's profit will skid nearly 7% this fiscal year, but rebound nearly 3% next fiscal year.

There's no question, value stocks have disappointed before. But some of the rallies in select value stocks show some rare bullishness that's been years in the making.

Top Value Stocks

Outperformers this year in S&P Pure Value Index

Company Ticker YTD % ch. Sector
NRG Energy 39.3% Utilities
Valero Energy 38.7% Energy
Phillips 66 29.7% Energy
Hartford Financial Services Group 27.0% Financials
Kroger 26.4% Consumer Staples
General Motors 25.8% Consumer Discretionary
Allstate 23.9% Financials
Target 23.2% Consumer Staples
Mohawk Industries 22.1% Consumer Discretionary
Cigna 20.6% Health Care
Travelers 20.2% Financials
Sources: S&P Global Market Intelligence, IBD
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