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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Prince J. Grimes

Wintry weather is causing some of the lowest NFL betting lines we’ve ever seen

A lot of NFL games are going to played in some awful conditions in Week 16.

Eight different games are expected to have below-freezing temperatures at kickoff, including a Week 16 low of nine degrees for the Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears game. The “feels like” temperature dips into the negatives for a few of the games. And there’s always the likelihood of temperature drops over the course of each game.

There’s even a chance of snow for the New Orleans Saints at Cleveland Browns game.

As a result of the frigid temperatures, bettors are seeing some of the lowest lines they’ve ever seen for point totals and player props.

The Browns-Saints total dipped as low as 31.5 at BetMGM and was 32.5 as of Thursday afternoon at many sportsbooks, including Tipico.

But even as the lowest total in more than a decade, bettors were still hitting the under at Caesars.

Seven other games in Week 16 also have a total of less than 40 points. The next lowest is 35.5 for the Texans at Titans and Falcons at Ravens games. Those teams are also expected to be playing in freezing weather, but quarterback play is another factor in the low totals. The Titans are likely to start rookie Malik Willis and the Falcons are starting rookie Desmond Ridder.

Ridder’s passing prop opened as the lowest ever for a starting quarterback before being passed by Justin Fields.

Willis’ prop isn’t available yet, but that one may open even lower than Fields and Ridder’s. Willis failed to eclipse 100 yards in two starts long before temperatures started dropping below freezing.

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