Boris Johnson remains under intense pressure to resign in the aftermath of Monday’s bruising no confidence vote, triggered after more than 54 of the prime minister’s fellow Conservatives sent letters to Sir Graham Brady’s powerful 1922 Committee of backbenchers protesting his ongoing leadership.
Mr Johnson won the ballot in the House of Commons by 211 votes to 148 but the outcome was perilously close and saw 41 per cent of Tories support his ousting.
Free of further challenges to his authority for the meantime but badly wounded nonetheless, things could get worse for the PM later this month when a brace of by-elections in Wakefield and Tiverton and Honiton to replace disgraced Conservative MPs promise further embarrassment.
Downing Street has said Mr Johnson is not “currently” planning a Cabinet reshuffle in the wake of Monday’s drama, although he might be tempted to freshen up his front bench and remove any ministers he deems to be disloyal as he pushes desperately to move on from his recent trials.
Sir Graham’s announcement – immediately following the weekend’s Platinum Jubilee celebrations for the Queen, at which Mr Johnson was booed on the steps of St Paul’s Cathedral – that the threshold for disquiet had been passed and a vote would be held on the PM’s future came hot on the heels of the publication of Sue Gray’s report into rule-flouting in Downing Street and Whitehall during the coronavirus pandemic.
That scandal, popularly known as“Partygate”, has dogged Mr Johnson’s steps for six months now.
Ms Gray, a respected veteran civil servant, was appointed in December 2021 to investigate a string of illicit drinks parties held behind closed doors at Westminster during lockdown when the public were being ordered to observe strict social-distancing laws and stay at home to prevent the spread of Covid-19.
Her inquiry was delayed by the Metropolitan Police launching an investigation of its own based on the evidence she had collected, which ultimately led to 83 individuals receiving 126 fixed-penalty notices, the prime minister, his wife Carrie Johnson and chancellor Rishi Sunak among their number and forced to fork over £50 each.
That development, meaning Mr Johnson had broken the law in office, revived calls for his resignation after he appeared to have weathered the worst of the storm of indignation that threatened to topple him in December and January, a period when fresh stories about the scandal appeared almost daily in the press carrying anecdotes about wine fridges, “BYOB” garden parties and Christmas quizzes, infuriating members of the public who had been denied the opportunity to spend time with sick or dying loved ones out of respect for the laws this same government had imposed to keep Covid at bay.
Following the eventual conclusion of the Met’s inquiry, Ms Gray was finally able to publish her dossier in full (a 12-page “update” had appeared on 31 January) on 25 May, which carried photographs and further lurid details of security staff being insulted by drunken revellers, janitors left to sponge claret stains from the walls of the corridors of power and staff stumbling out of “work events” in the early hours of the morning surreptitiously via a rear door.
“There were failures of leadership and judgement by different parts of No 10 and the Cabinet Office at different times,” Ms Gray wrote. “Some of the events should not have been allowed to take place. Other events should not have been allowed to develop as they did.”
While Mr Johnson might have hoped his subsequent apology would draw a line under matters, he must still appear before the Commons Privileges Committee to answer questions about whether he knowingly misled Parliament about Partygate, having regularly denied holding any prior knowledge about what went on.
The PM has repeatedly insisted that supporting Ukraine and addressing the cost of living crisis are more important issues and attempted to defend his record by citing the speed of the UK vaccine rollout last year but few will be convinced by his rhetoric and many of his own MPs remain incensed.
Despite his slim victory in the Commons on Monday evening, their stinging words in recent weeks have made a deep impression on the public, many of whom are every bit as appalled as their elected representatives.
Among high-profile Tories to have been particularly scathing about the PM’s ongoing leadership is Tom Tugendhat, chair of the Foreign Affairs Committee, who said: “No 10 is the UK’s strategic headquarters, it has the responsibility to maintain operational capability whatever the circumstances.
“The prime minister put the governance of the UK at risk to a single, severe Covid outbreak. That is to say nothing of the lack of respect it showed for the British people or the Queen.”
Long-time critic Tobias Ellwood meanwhile rebuked him for seeking to distract from his problems with frivolous but headline-grabbing initiatives like the announcement of a consultation on the return of imperial weights and measures, a gesture intended to appeal to the party’s right-wing Brexiteers.
Mr Ellwood dismissed the venture as a sign his fellow Conservatives were “in denial” about the threat of ejection from office at the next election, describing it as “far from the inspirational, visionary progressive thinking that we require”.
Another veteran MP, who spoke to The Independent on condition of anonymity before Monday’s events, said: “At the moment there is no obvious alternative leader for people to coalesce around, and I think Boris will probably survive the confidence vote.
“But the problem, as Theresa May found, is that simply being forced to a vote leaves you wounded, potentially terminally. After that first vote, I think people who see themselves as future leaders will put their heads above the parapet and say that they are ready to stand for election, and that changes the landscape considerably.
“He needs to provide some months of diligent and competent government, doing some solid work on which he can be judged. And frankly, we need to see a little less of him.”
