The musical event of the year, Wicked, opens in theaters on November 22, 2024. The feature film adaptation of the popular musical will certainly draw big crowds. How much money will Wicked gross domestically over the first three days? Below, we examine Wicked’s opening weekend box office odds.
Wicked: What Is It About?
Wicked is the first of a two-part film adaptation of the Tony Award-winning musical by Stephen Schwartz and Winnie Holzman.
Wicked is the untold story of the two witches of Oz. Cynthia Erivo plays Elphaba, the misunderstood green-skinned witch, and Ariana Grande stars as Glinda, the bubbly, popular witch. Elphaba and Glinda become unlikely friends at Shiz University. However, their friendship deteriorates after meeting The Wonderful Wizard of Oz.
Directed by Jon M. Chu, Wicked is the origin story for Elphaba, the Wicked Witch of the West, and Glinda the Good.
Wicked’s ensemble features Michelle Yeoh as Madame Morrible, Jonathan Bailey as Fiyero, Ethan Slater as Boq, Marissa Bode as Nessarose, Bowen Yang as Pfannee, Bronwyn James as ShenShen, Keala Settle as Miss Coddle, Peter Dinklage as Dr. Dillamond, and Jeff Goldblum as the legendary Wizard of Oz.
Wicked Opening Weekend Box Office Odds
| Opening Weekend Box Office: Domestic | Odds |
|---|---|
| Less than $95 million | +1567 |
| $95 million-$105 million | +1900 |
| $105 million-$115 million | +900 |
| $115 million-$125 million | +525 |
| $125 million-$135 million | +233 |
| Over $135 million | +156 |
Odds via Polymarket on 11/20/24 at 5:30 p.m. ET.
Wicked is trending toward a domestic opening north of $100 million.
Deadline has Wicked pegged for a $125 million to $150 million domestic opening, while Variety has a more conservative estimate between $100 million and $110 million.
Wicked is not the only major release this weekend, as Gladiator II opens on Friday. Ridley Scott’s highly anticipated sequel to Gladiator is tracking to an opening of over $60 million.
Will Gladiator help or hurt Wicked’s opening weekend haul? Many fans believe the two films will ultimately help each other at the box office, similar to how Barbie and Oppenheimer inspired the “Barbenheimer” phenomenon.
