In one of my superflex dynasties, we just passed our Week 10 trade deadline. We're in our first season so there are a lot of rules that I believe need tweaking to optimize the experience. I'm not the commissioner of this league, so I have plenty of gripes. I believe there's no need for a trade deadline. Just like I don't believe in vetoing of trades unless there is clear evidence of collusion. With that hands-off approach to trade vetoes, I believe the same holds true about trade deadlines. You don't need them. We still have about a month until the fantasy playoffs and if you want to make moves, you should be allowed to do so.
I could understand a rule where none of the top-eight teams cannot trade a week or two before the playoffs, which would allow the bottom four teams to make trades among themselves. This minimizes the risk of fairly-made, but lopsided trades where the last place team dumps big assets to a top team. But part of the game is that gamesmanship. You want to win? You have to do everything within the rules to do so. It's also part of being a good manager. Just because you're in last doesn't mean you have the right to stop setting lineups and leaving players in your starting lineup who are on a bye. It's the little things that can make or break a good league experience.
The problem for commissioners is often just leaving in default settings. A trade deadline might mean teams can't even trade after the season is over. This means trades might not come back online for weeks or months. That's just not acceptable in any dynasty format. Dynasty is a year-long format and while there may be nothing immediate that needs to be done, a dynasty should never feel "done" for the season, whether you're in first or last.
Let's get to the dynasty stock watch...
WR Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams
A few weeks ago in my Week 7 Dynasty Stock Watch, I discussed Kupp among a few top-tier players you should trade away if you were in a rebuild. What a difference a few weeks can make! Let me first quote myself so we're on the same page:
Trading away Cooper Kupp? This is what a rebuild looks like. Kupp will be 30 next year. ... The wheels have come off in Los Angeles. ... They’ve scored the fewest points in the NFC West. Things ain’t good. Last year’s Super Bowl win and a 3-3 record are maintaining the illusion that everything is okay. And I understand the reluctance to move him. Kupp doesn’t appear to be slowing down. Kupp is the No. 2 receiver in PPR leagues, right behind Diggs. Kupp’s 2.45 Y/RR falls well short of his 2021 total (3.12), but would still be his second-best rate. He’s on pace to force more missed tackles and catch more contested passes than last year. Basically I’m implying that it’s the Rams slowing down Kupp, not the other way around. Strike while the iron is hot and trade him for a huge bounty. You should be shooting for three 2023 1st rounders.
Now you may believe that trading Kupp for three first-round picks was impossible, but I was referring to cumulative trade value in return. That was his value at the time, or at least the target value we were hoping to get for him. Now? His value is halved. You could probably still get a future first and second for him. Obviously the market has moved down, but there's no leverage in trying to trade him. In any given trade, you can get lucky and find someone to overspend, but Kupp managers are working behind the 8-ball. Now we're talking about a 30-year-old next season coming off of ankle surgery. He can return in four weeks, but will the Rams really rush him out there if they're one of the bottom-four teams in the NFC and have no shot at the postseason? Don't get me wrong, I still feel Kupp would be a late first-round redraft pick in 2023, but we don't know if Matthew Stafford will be around. Even if you're a true believer and love the guy for another two or three elite seasons, the Rams aren't grooming a young rookie QB on the bench. Maybe they trade for another veteran to come in and take over if Stafford retires, but the larger point is we should have already moved on from Kupp in a rebuild. It's foolish to believe everything will go a player's way indefinitely. Fantasy is like life and life can get ugly fast. Kupp's value could rebound if he heals quickly and plays again this year. That's probably best case scenario if you're still holding him in a rebuild.
Price check: 2023 first and second
Win-now: Hold and hope for late fantasy playoff return
Rebuild: Hold until next selling window (returns in one month or ahead of NFL Draft or 2024 season)
