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In today’s high-stakes geopolitical landscape, warfare is no longer just about boots on the ground. It is about algorithms, data, and AI-driven precision. Artificial intelligence has become a cornerstone of modern defense strategy, giving nations the power to predict, analyze, and act faster than ever.
Software firm Palantir Technologies (PLTR), long known for its deep ties to government intelligence and military operations, just sold its AI-powered Maven Smart System to NATO. The new tech delivers tailored AI tools to the alliance, equipping forces with cutting-edge capabilities for decisive, modern battlefield dominance. This move didn’t go unnoticed.
Wedbush analyst Dan Ives believes it places the Denver-based firm in a “prime position” for future government contracts. Though PLTR stock is still trading well below its 52-week high, shares are up 25% in the year to date, outperforming many other AI darlings. Given that, should investors consider jumping in now? Let’s dive deeper.
About Palantir Stock
Founded in 2003, Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is a formidable force in the AI landscape. With a mission to combat terrorism, thwart crime, and empower organizations to sift through colossal amounts of data, Palantir’s suite of tools – Gotham, Apollo, and Foundry – are engineered for precision. The company’s far-reaching operations span North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, cementing its global presence.
Valued at a market cap of nearly $213 billion, PLTR stock roared into the spotlight - skyrocketing 348% over the past year. Market turbulence from President Donald Trump’s tariff talk knocked it down briefly, but it seems momentum is returning. The NATO deal added fuel to the fire, signaling PLTR might have found its stride again, riding a wave of renewed optimism through the chaos.
Palantir Tops Q4 Earnings Forecasts
On Feb. 3, the data and AI powerhouse dropped a stellar fourth-quarter earnings report that sent its stock soaring 23% in a single session. Its revenue jumped 36% year-over-year to $828 million, crushing forecasts by nearly 7%, while adjusted earnings per share grew 75% annually to $0.14, a double-digit beat over analyst calls.
U.S. revenue climbed by 52% annually, with the commercial sector surging 64% to $214 million, while government deals added a robust 45% boost, amounting to $343 million. The company inked 129 deals worth over $1 million, 58 topping $5 million, and 32 over $10 million. Customer count grew 43% year over year.
Looking to 2025, Palantir charts an ambitious course, projecting revenue between $3.741 billion and $3.757 billion, with U.S. commercial sales climbing 54% to over $1.079 billion. On the path to sustained profitability, management anticipates adjusted operating income between $1.551 billion and $1.567 billion, with adjusted free cash flow between $1.5 billion and $1.7 billion.
Analysts tracking Palantir expect 2025 profit to reach $0.32 per share, up 300% year-over-year, and rise another 15.6% to $0.37 per share in fiscal 2026.
What Do Analysts Expect for Palantir Stock?
Palantir has been in the spotlight after its agreement with NATO. Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives is doubling down on PLTR, keeping his "Outperform" rating and a bold $120 target. The recent revelation that NATO has acquired Palantir’s AI-powered Maven Smart System for military use is a game-changer.
Despite threats that Trump’s administration could slash the federal defense budget, Dan Ives sees Palantir riding high. Its stealthy software, built for sensitive AI work, is gaining traction just as governments brace for a digital arms race. With the new contract ready to launch in 30 days, Ives believes Palantir is perfectly placed to catch a tidal wave of U.S. and European AI spending.
Wall Street maintains a “Hold” rating overall. Of the 20 analysts offering recommendations, three advise a “Strong Buy,” 12 analysts play it safe with a “Hold,” one suggests a “Moderate Sell,” and the remaining four maintain a “Strong Sell.”
Although the stock is trading at a premium to its average analyst price target of $84, the Street-high target of $125 signals that PLTR can still climb as much as 33% from current levels.
