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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World

US presidents are a sum of their actions, not their years

Joe Biden and Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro on 17 June 17, 2023.
‘How would Shapiro, Whitmer or Newsom “rejuvenate the image of the US in the world”?’ Joe Biden and Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro in June. Photograph: Manuel Balce Ceneta/AP

Timothy Garton Ash’s plea for Joe Biden to step aside reveals the hollowness at the core of much of centrist ideology (Unless Joe Biden stands aside, the world must prepare for President Trump 2.0, 29 September).

Garton Ash is wholly correct in pointing out that concerns about Biden’s age and fitness have played a meaningful role in his dismal approval ratings heading into next year’s presidential election. However, his emphasis on youth, absent anything of actual substance, betrays the centrist obsession with narratives and optics that artificially inflated the failed presidential primary campaigns of figures such as Beto O’Rourke and Pete Buttigieg.

The three contenders that Garton Ash puts forward as potential replacements for Biden – governors Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer and Gavin Newsom – are united only by their youth relative to Biden. While age certainly appears to be an issue to US voters, it is hard to see how simply having a younger Democratic candidate for president would have the impact that Garton Ash imagines. How would Shapiro, Whitmer or Newsom “rejuvenate the image of the US in the world”? Garton Ash doesn’t say. Public opinion of the US, especially in the global south, is based largely on what the country does, not the identity of the person occupying the Oval Office.

Biden stepping down would probably be in the best interests of the Democratic party and the country. As a Canadian, I know all too well the global implications of who the US president is, but a candidate with little to offer beyond being younger than Biden is not the answer that the US or the world needs.
David Beamish
Bonn, Germany

• Like Timothy Garton Ash, I spent two months this summer in the US, and sadly can echo most of what he writes about President Biden. I would add two points, however.

First, Donald Trump’s support in the states I visited – Iowa, Nebraska, the Dakotas, Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas – is visceral and implacably opposed to liberal outreach. They will not be persuaded by better arguments. They cannot be swayed by a buoyant economy. They will vote for Trump and they must therefore be defeated. This reality has to be recognised if the Democratic candidate is to win in November 2024.

Second, the possible Democratic candidates that Garton Ash mentions – Shapiro, Whitmer and Newsom – cannot defeat the Trump campaign: they have no national profile, they have no political base outside their states, and they show no stomach for the vicious fight that awaits them. No liberal does.

There is a Democrat who can win, if she can be persuaded to run again: Hillary Clinton. She commands nationwide support, retains international recognition and won’t be cowed by Trump. But, most of all, Clinton will fight relentlessly. Consensus building can wait for 2028. Only political conflict will save us from Trump 2.0 in 2024.
Dr Gareth Jones
Hong Kong

• Unusually, Timothy Garton Ash has gotten this completely wrong. Joe Biden stepping aside would start a frenzied fight within the party for the nomination for an election only a year away, generating hard feelings and attack lines for Republicans to use in the election. Taking Mr Garton Ash’s advice is the surest way for Donald Trump to win.
Lee Hartmann
Ann Arbor, Michigan, US

• Have an opinion on anything you’ve read in the Guardian today? Please email us your letter and it will be considered for publication in our letters section.

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