US intelligence agencies have issued warnings to both the Biden and Trump administrations regarding Israel's potential plans to target key facilities in Iran's nuclear program this year. The intelligence assessments indicate that Israel's military actions could escalate tensions in the Middle East and increase the risk of a broader conflict.
Israel's objectives include not only disrupting Iran's nuclear capabilities but also aiming for regime change in Iran. The country has previously conducted targeted strikes on military targets in Iran in response to ballistic missile attacks.
However, Israel's ability to completely dismantle Iran's nuclear program without assistance from the United States is limited. The recent US intelligence reports suggest that Israel lacks the necessary resources, such as mid-air refueling and specialized bombs, to carry out a comprehensive attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.
President Trump has expressed a preference for diplomatic solutions with Iran over military action, emphasizing the importance of a verified nuclear peace agreement. Despite Trump's efforts to engage in negotiations with Iran, Israel continues to consider further military strikes against Iranian targets.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's close relationship with President Trump has influenced discussions on potential military actions against Iran. Israeli officials have reportedly proposed additional strikes to take advantage of Iran's weakened state following previous conflicts.
The Biden administration has engaged in discussions with Israeli officials regarding potential military actions against Iran. However, the decision to refrain from preemptive strikes during the transition period was made following Trump's election win.
While Israel has not ruled out the possibility of future military strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, the effectiveness of such actions in halting Iran's nuclear program remains uncertain. Trump's recent diplomatic efforts, including appointing a Middle East envoy to oversee engagement with Iran, signal a shift towards a more diplomatic approach to resolving tensions in the region.