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The National (Scotland)
The National (Scotland)
National
Laura Webster

UK growth forecast downgraded AGAIN as IMF makes gloomy prediction

Boris Johnson has overseen the UK's inflation rate rising to its highest level in 40 years

THE UK’s economic growth is slowing even more due to rampant inflation and it is set to be the weakest economy among the G7 nations next year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned.

In its latest World Economic Outlook update, the body downgraded its UK growth forecast for 2022 to 3.2%, from 3.7% in April.

This had already been a downgrade from 4.7% at the start of the year.

The outlook for the UK is expected to become even more gloomy in 2023, with the IMF cutting its forecast for next year to 0.5% growth from a previous 1.2% estimate.

In 2023, the UK is projected to have the weakest growth of the world’s biggest economies, excluding Russia.

It came as the IMF warned that stalling growth across the world means we could be “teetering on the edge of a global recession”.

The IMF cut its global growth forecasts for this year to 3.2%, from a previous 3.6% projection.

It said growth in 2023 is now expected to reach 2.9%, cutting its guidance from 3.6%.

IMF economic counsellor Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said: “The outlook has darkened significantly since April.

“The world may soon be teetering on the edge of a global recession only two years after the last one.”

The SNP's shadow chancellor Alison Thewliss MP (below) said that under Westminster rule, Scotland's economy will "continue to suffer". 

"With the UK set for the slowest growth of all G7 economies next year, and both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss offering no credible solution, it leaves Scotland with only one option," she said.

"As set out in the Scottish Government independence papers, smaller independent European nations continue to outperform the UK in economic and social league tables.

"That is why there can be no doubt that the only way to build a fairer, more prosperous society - and regain our place within the EU - is to become an independent country."

The IMF also warned that global inflation forecasts have worsened over the past quarter as consumer have been hit by rising food and energy prices.

Inflation is anticipated to rise by 6.6% in advanced economies, after a 0.9 percentage point increase to forecasts.

Meanwhile, developing economies are due to face a 9.5% inflation rate for the year.

Some economics experts think the UK's inflation rate will hit 12% by the end of the year, having already surpassed a 40-year high of 9.4%.

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