UFC upset winners: 2025 complete list

(This story was updated to add new information.)

Take a look at the 2025 betting upsets in the UFC.

For an underdog to be included on this list, the favorite had to be a consensus minimum of -150 across major sportsbooks. That will keep the list from being populated with truly minor upsets from betting lines that easily could have swung the opposite way.

Fighters are listed alphabetically, followed by an event-by-event upset tracker.

(Updated through UFC 312)

Raoni Barcelos vs. Payton Talbott

Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Raoni Barcelos def. Payton Talbott via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
Odds: Talbott -1200, Barcelos +750

Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson

Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04
Odds: Johnson -180, Bunes +150

Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas

Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56
Odds: Ribas -190, Dern +160

Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov

Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
Odds: Nurmagomedov -280, Dvalishvili +225

Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura

Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Odds: Nakamura -675, Gafurov +490

Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya

Nassourdine Imavov celebrates after defeating Israel Adesanya in their men’s middleweight fight during the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Fight Night 250 in Riyadh on February 1, 2025. (Photo by Fayez NURELDINE / AFP)

Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya via knockout (punches) – Round 2, 0:30
Odds: Adesanya -170, Imavov +140

Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Gadzhiyasulov -275, Lopes +215

Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset

Event: UFC 312 | Feb. 8, 2025
Location: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney
Result: Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Jousset -210, Micallef +170

Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov

Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Nurmagomedov -220, Oliveira +180

Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov

Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Odds: Magomedov -220, Page +180

Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa

Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Odds: Rosa -250, Perez +205

Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi

Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Bashi -270 Rodriguez +215

Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic

Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31
Odds: Medic -225, Soriano +180

Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele

Event: UFC 312 | Feb. 8, 2025
Location: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney
Result: Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Odds: Steele -340, Zhu +270