UFC 303 predictions: 3 razor-thin picks, 2 blowouts on Las Vegas main card

The UFC is back in Las Vegas for International Fight Week with the light heavyweight strap on the line – again – at the top of the card.

UFC 303 (pay-per-view, ESPN, ESPN+) takes place Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid for the main card in a separate window.)

Get main card pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

 

Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page

Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page

Records: Garry (14-0 MMA, 7-0 UFC), Page (22-2 MMA, 1-0 UFC)
Past five: Garry 5-0, Page 4-1
Division: Welterweight
Rankings: Garry No. 12, Page honorable mention
Odds (as of 06.29.24): Garry -140, Page +120
Junkie pick results: Garry 6, Page 5

Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson

Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson

Records: Bueno Silva (10-3-1 MMA, 5-3-1 UFC), Chiasson (10-3 MMA, 7-3 UFC)
Past five: Bueno Silva 3-2, Chiasson 3-2
Division: Women’s bantamweight
Rankings: Bueno Silva No. 5, Chiasson No. 10
Odds (as of 06.29.24): Bueno Silva -165, Chiasson +140
Junkie pick results: Chiasson 6, Bueno Silva 5

Roman Dolidze vs. Anthony Smith

Anthony Smith vs. Roman Dolidze

Records: Dolidze (12-3 MMA, 6-3 UFC), Smith (38-19 MMA, 13-9 UFC)
Past five: Dolidze 3-2, Smith 2-3
Division: Light heavyweight
Rankings: Smith No. 12 light heavyweight; Dolidze No. 14 middleweight
Odds (as of 06.29.24): Dolidze -150, Smith +125
Junkie pick results: Dolidze 6, Smith 5

Diego Lopes vs. Brian Ortega

Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes

Records: Lopes (24-6 MMA, 3-1 UFC), Ortega (16-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC)
Past five: Lopes 4-1, Ortega 2-3
Division: Lightweight
Rankings: Ortega No. 7 featherweight
Odds (as of 06.29.24): Lopes -150, Ortega +125
Junkie pick results: Lopes 11, Ortega 0

Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka

Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka

Records: Pereira (10-2 MMA, 7-1 UFC), Prochazka (30-4-1 MMA, 4-1 UFC)
Past five: Pereira 4-1, Prochazka 4-1
Division: Light heavyweight
Rankings: Pereira No. 1, No. 5 pound-for-pound; Prochazka No. 2
Odds (as of 06.29.24): Pereira -150, Prochazka +125
Junkie pick results: Pereira 9, Prochazka 2

Check out all the main card picks below.

UFC 303 main card picks

	Pereira vs. Prochazka	Lopes vs. Ortega	Dolidze vs. Smith	Bueno Silva vs. Chiasson	Garry vs. Page
MMA Junkie readers’ consensus picks 110-64	Pereira (72%)	Lopes (59%)	Smith (58%)	Bueno Silva (67%)	Page (56%)
Ken Hathaway @1khathaway 115-59 2018, 2022 Champion	Pereira	Lopes	Smith	Bueno Silva	Garry
Farah Hannoun @Farah_Hannoun 114-60	Pereira	Lopes	Dolidze	Chiasson	Page
Mike Bohn @MikeBohn 113-61 2014 Champion	Prochazka	Lopes	Smith	Chiasson	Garry
Nolan King @mma_kings 111-63 2023 Champion	Pereira	Lopes	Dolidze	Bueno Silva	Garry
Abbey Subhan @kammakaze 107-67	Pereira	Lopes	Smith	Bueno Silva	Page
Matthew Wells @MrMWells 107-67	Pereira	Lopes	Smith	Chiasson	Garry
Simon Samano @SJSamano 104-70	Prochazka	Lopes	Dolidze	Chiasson	Garry
Matt Erickson @MattE 104-70	Pereira	Lopes	Dolidze	Chiasson	Page
Brian Garcia @thegoze 103-71 2017 Champion	Pereira	Lopes	Dolidze	Chiasson	Page
Danny Segura @dannyseguratv 97-77	Pereira	Lopes	Dolidze	Bueno Silva	Garry
George Garcia @MMAjunkieGeorge 92-82	Pereira	Lopes	Smith	Bueno Silva	Page

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 303.

UFC 303 fight week photos