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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Matt Erickson

UFC 279 predictions: Who’s picking underdog Nate Diaz over 12-1 favorite Khamzat Chimaev?

Chimaev
vs.
Diaz
Ferguson
vs.
Jingliang
Holland
vs.
Rodriguez
Aldana
vs.
Chiasson
Cutelaba
vs.
Walker
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
145-90

Chimaev
(55%)

Ferguson
(51%)

Holland
(65%)

Aldana
(65%)

Walker
(54%)
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
159-81
2018 Champion

Chimaev

Jingliang

Rodriguez

Aldana

Cutelaba
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
154-86

Chimaev

Jingliang

Rodriguez

Aldana

Cutelaba
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
152-88
2014 Champion

Chimaev

Jingliang

Holland

Chiasson

Walker
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
149-91

Chimaev

Jingliang

Holland

Chiasson

Walker
Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
147-93

Chimaev

Jingliang

Holland

Chiasson

Cutelaba
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
147-93

Chimaev

Jingliang

Holland

Aldana

Walker
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
147-93

Diaz

Jingliang

Holland

Aldana

Walker
Nolan King
@mma_kings
142-98

Chimaev

Jingliang

Holland

Aldana

Cutelaba
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
140-100
2017 Champion

Chimaev

Ferguson

Rodriguez

Aldana

Cutelaba
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
129-111

Diaz

Ferguson

Holland

Aldana

Cutelaba
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
116-124

Chimaev

Jingliang

Rodriguez

Aldana

Cutelaba

The UFC is back in its Las Vegas home base for a pay-per-view featuring a rising star against one of the sport’s most popular fighters.

UFC 279 takes place Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The main card airs on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPNEWS and early prelims on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

In the welterweight main event, Khamzat Chimaev (11-0 MMA, 5-0 UFC) takes on Nate Diaz (20-13 MMA, 15-11 UFC), who is on the last fight of his UFC deal and is likely to move on from the promotion after this week. Chimaev is a massive -1200 favorite at Tipico Sportsbook; the comeback on Diaz is +650. But despite the heavy odds in his favor, Chimaev isn’t a unanimous pick from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers. He has a big 9-2 picks lead, though.

The co-main event features the return of former interim lightweight champ Tony Ferguson (25-7 MMA, 15-5 UFC) vs. Li Jingliang (19-7 MMA, 11-5 UFC) at welterweight, a division in which Ferguson is 14-2 overall. Jingliang is a big -340 favorite at the betting window and has a 9-2 edge in the picks. Our readers, though, are going counter to that and have underdog Ferguson with a slim lead.

Also on the main card, Kevin Holland (23-7 MMA, 10-4 UFC) is more than a 2-1 favorite against Daniel Rodriguez (16-2 MMA, 6-1 UFC) in their middleweight bout and has a 7-4 lead in the picks.

“Ultimate Fighter” Season 28 women’s featherweight winner Macy Chiasson (8-2 MMA, 6-2 UFC) is a +145 underdog in her bantamweight bout against Irene Aldana (13-6 MMA, 6-4 UFC). Aldana has a big 8-3 picks advantage.

And to open the main card, Ion Cutelaba (16-7-1 MMA, 5-6-1 UFC) takes on Johnny Walker (18-7 MMA, 4-4 UFC) at light heavyweight. Cutelaba is a -210 favorite and has a 7-4 lead from our staff members. But it’s another fight in which our readers are bucking the trend and going opposite us by taking Walker.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Chimaev (55 percent), Ferguson (51 percent), Holland (65 percent), Aldana (65 percent) and Walker (54 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 279.

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