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Trump leads in New Hampshire, Haley trails, race far from over

Donald Trump has a 12 point lead in New Hampshire.

Title: Trump Leads in New Hampshire Republican Primary, Haley Trails by Double Digits

Donald Trump has taken a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Republican Primary, with a significant margin ahead of his closest rival, Nikki Haley. As the results pour in, it is evident that Trump's support among blue-collar Trump voters is strong, particularly in key areas such as Manchester, the state's largest city.

With 80% of the vote counted in Manchester, Trump has secured 57% of the votes, solidifying his position as the front-runner. This is a crucial victory for Trump, as winning in areas with large voter pools is essential for success in the primary.

The second most populous township in New Hampshire, Nashua, which is a crucial target for Haley, appears to be leaning towards Trump at the moment. With 60% of the vote counted, Trump currently holds a significant advantage. It is crucial for Haley to secure a victory in Nashua if she hopes to challenge Trump's dominance in the state.

While it is still early in the counting process, Trump is demonstrating strong support in smaller towns north of Concord. These towns, consisting of a few hundred to a thousand votes, are expected to mostly favor Trump, further widening his lead.

Although Haley has managed to secure 43% of the vote, solidifying her position as the second-place candidate, she faces an uphill battle against Trump, the most formidable force in the Republican Party. The results so far indicate that Trump is likely to win New Hampshire by a healthy margin, potentially reaching a double-digit lead.

Political analysts note that while winning Iowa and New Hampshire is historically significant, these early contests account for only 2.5% of the Republican delegates. With 97.5% of the delegates yet to be awarded, it is premature to declare the race over.

Despite Haley's attempts to position herself as the representation of the old Republican Party, her campaign ultimately remains as an insurgent campaign, facing low odds of success. In recent history, insurgent campaigns have mostly failed, with the exception of Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2008.

Looking ahead, South Carolina will be the next primary state, where Haley hopes to capitalize on her establishment connections. However, Trump's stronghold among the Republican establishment and his popularity among Republican voters pose significant challenges for Haley.

Additionally, as the primary race progresses, Michigan and other states will also play a crucial role in shaping the overall outcome. Michigan, in particular, has garnered attention as an open primary state, where Republican voters express strong belief in Trump's claim of winning the 2020 election.

In conclusion, Donald Trump's lead in the New Hampshire Republican Primary reflects his continued support among blue-collar Trump voters and his dominance in the Republican Party. Despite Nikki Haley's second-place standing, she faces an uphill battle to narrow the gap and challenge Trump's momentum in upcoming primary states. As the primary race unfolds, it remains to be seen whether any candidate can successfully challenge Trump's stronghold on the Republican Party.

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