A recent Poll of Polls on the presidential race conducted entirely after Thursday's debate reveals that former President Donald Trump is currently leading President Joe Biden by a margin of 49% to 44%. This marks the first time this year that the candidates have been separated by more than three points in a Poll of Polls.
The Poll of Polls average includes data from four surveys conducted post-debate. These surveys include a poll showing Trump at 49% and Biden at 43% among registered voters, a CBS/YouGov poll with Trump at 50% and Biden at 48% among likely voters, a New York Times/Siena College poll with Trump at 49% and Biden at 41% among registered voters, and a Wall Street Journal poll with Trump at 48% and Biden at 42% among registered voters.
Prior to the debate, the Poll of Polls had Trump at 49% and Biden at 47%. However, polling data has consistently shown Trump leading by a margin since last fall. The CBS/YouGov and New York Times/Siena polls conducted both pre- and post-debate indicated a relatively stable race, with a slight uptick in Trump's margin within the margin of error. The Wall Street Journal poll, which had not been conducted since February, also showed a shift towards Trump over the broader time period.
