The races to fill the U.S. House seats of former Reps. Mike Waltz and Matt Gaetz commenced on Tuesday with primaries in conservative districts that strongly support President Donald Trump. The 1st Congressional District, previously represented by Gaetz, and the 6th Congressional District, formerly held by Waltz, are up for grabs.
Republicans are anticipated to retain the seats, which would restore their narrow 220-215 majority in the U.S. House as they advance Trump's agenda. However, the implementation of Trump’s policies may face delays as Congress awaits the confirmation of the primary winners in the general elections scheduled for April 1.
Trump-Endorsed Candidates
In the 1st District, Trump endorsed Florida Chief Financial Officer Jimmy Patronis, a well-known figure in Florida politics with ties to Sen. Rick Scott. In the 6th District, Trump is backing state Sen. Randy Fine, recognized for his support of Israel and conservative stances.
Challengers to Trump's Picks
Republican challengers include former state Rep. Joel Rudman against Patronis in the 1st District and Aaron Baker and Ehsan Joarder against Fine in the 6th District.
Democratic Candidates
Gay Valimont is running in the 1st District, while Josh Weil and Ges Selmont are vying for the 6th District seat.
Expert Analysis
Political scientist Aubrey Jewett from the University of Central Florida suggests that Republican primary winners are likely to secure the seats. However, criticism has been directed at both Patronis and Fine for not residing in the districts they aim to represent. Jewett notes the potential for a competitive Republican primary for Gaetz's seat.
Jewett also mentions a slim chance for Democrats to secure Waltz's seat, while the possibility of winning Gaetz's seat is deemed highly unlikely.
Overall, the special elections in Florida's 1st and 6th Congressional Districts are poised to shape the composition of the U.S. House, with Republicans aiming to maintain their majority as Democrats seek potential upsets.
