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Miami Herald
Miami Herald
National
Michelle Marchante, Alex Harris and Devoun Cetoute

Tropical Storm Gaston forms. A depression could follow, and Fiona may be a Category 4 hurricane

The seventh tropical storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, Gaston, formed Tuesday over the north-central Atlantic — but far from land.

Forecasters are also watching two disturbances, and one has a high chance of turning into a tropical depression in the next several days and could be something for Florida to watch.

Also on forecasters’ radar: Hurricane Fiona, which left devastating damage in Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic and continued to batter Turks and Caicos most of Tuesday as a Category 3 hurricane.

Here’s what to know:

—Tropical Storm Gaston forecast

Tropical Storm Gaston was about 990 miles west of the Azores, according to the National Hurricane Center’s 5 p.m. Eastern time advisory Tuesday.

The system had maximum sustained winds near 40 mph with higher gusts, and forecasters expect Gaston to strengthen, with about 60 mph winds, in the next few days before petering out. It is not forecast to become a hurricane.

“Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of the system,” the hurricane center said.

Forecasters expect the system will become extra-tropical over the weekend once it runs into cooler waters, drier air and an increase in westerly shear.

—What about the two disturbances?

The disturbance that forecasters are closely monitoring is a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands Tuesday night and is continuing to show signs of organization.

The hurricane center said conditions are friendly enough for it to turn into a tropical depression within the next two or three days as it quickly moves west to west-northwest across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea.

The hurricane center, in its advisory at 8 p.m. Tuesday, upped the system’s formation chances from 60% to 70% for the next 48 hours and from 80% to 90% through the next five days.

“Interests in the Windward Islands should closely monitor the progress of this system as heavy rainfall and gusty winds could affect these islands beginning on Wednesday,” the hurricane center said.

Forecasters are also watching a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Thursday. The hurricane center says it has no chance of formation in the next 48 hours and has gone from a 20% to a 40% chance of formation as it moves north between west Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands through the end of the week.

—Hurricane Fiona forecast

By reaching Category 3 level strength, Fiona has become the first major hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. It is not a threat to Florida or the rest of the United States.

The hurricane was about 75 miles north of North Caicos, with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph and higher gusts; that’s up from 115 mph winds earlier in the day, according to the National Hurricane Center’s advisory at 8 p.m. Tuesday. The storm was creeping north-northwest at 8 mph, a slowdown from earlier Tuesday. A turn to the north is expected Wednesday.

“On the forecast track, the center of Fiona will gradually move away from the Turks and Caicos tonight and Wednesday, and approach Bermuda late on Thursday,” the hurricane center said.

For the next several hours, Fiona will continue to bring hurricane conditions over portions of the Turks and Caicos and tropical storm conditions over portions of the southeastern Bahamas, according to the hurricane center.

Forecasters think Fiona will strengthen into a Category 4 storm by Wednesday night as it moves through the Atlantic’s waters. The forecast shows the system as a Cat 4 with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph by the time it nears Bermuda.

Turks and Caicos are under a hurricane warning.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for the southeastern Bahamas.

Bermuda is under a tropical storm watch.

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