The final New York Times/Siena College Battleground poll of the 2024 race reveals a closely contested election in key battleground states just days before the election. Former President Trump holds a lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona, while Harris leads in Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, and Wisconsin. Michigan and Pennsylvania are currently tied between the two candidates, according to the poll.
Siena Research described the race as 'too close to call,' with Trump leading by four points in Arizona (49-45) and Harris leading by one point in Georgia (48-47), two points in North Carolina (48-46), three points in Nevada (49-46), and two points in Wisconsin (49-47).
With the election just around the corner, multiple polls are showing tight margins. Real Clear Politics polling average indicates Trump's lead in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia, while Harris maintains a slight lead in Wisconsin and Michigan.
The New York Times/Siena College poll also examined Senate races in battleground states, showing Democratic candidates leading in Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, and Wisconsin. No Republican Senate candidate was reported to be leading in their respective races.
The poll surveyed 7,879 voters in seven battleground states between October 24 and November 2, with margins of error ranging from 2.9 to 4.1 percentage points across different states.