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Evening Standard
Evening Standard
World
Nuray Bulbul

The Tory MPs whose seats are at risk this general election

A number of well-known ministers may find it difficult to hold onto their positions in Parliament after Rishi Sunak has called for a general election in July.

According to reports, Tory election strategists threatened to remove MPs from their constituencies if their party received a majority of less than 15,000 votes. However, some have speculated that this allegation was manufactured to control expectations.

While voters will have a decision to vote between Conservative leader Sunak and Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer at the ballot box, they also have to select local MPs.

There are several big names at risk if the rumours is true. Here is the full list of Tories at risk of losing their job.

Suella Braverman

(PA Wire)

Less than a year after losing her job as home secretary, Suella Braverman might be leaving the Commons. In Fareham, she is defending a majority of 26,086.Labour, which finished second in 2019, is expecting a significant outcome on July 5. As of yet, the party has not selected a candidate for the position.

Jeremy Hunt

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has acknowledged people still feel worse off than before the pandemic (Aaron Chown/PA) (PA Wire)

In the newly created Godalming and Ash constituency, which includes portions of Jeremy Hunt's present South West Surrey seat, Mr Hunt, who has been in the cabinet nearly continuously since 2010, is defending a majority of 8,817 votes.

With such a large margin, the incumbent would normally be safe, but Mr Hunt, the former health secretary, will have to work hard to hold onto the "blue wall" seat given the magnitude of the swing away from the Tories.

According to YouGov, the Liberal Democrats are expected to unseat him.

Liz Truss

Polling predicts the lowest Conservative vote share of this Parliament, lower than under Liz Truss (Victoria Jones/PA) (PA Wire)

The former prime minister has been informed that she might be in danger, despite defending a majority of 26,195 in South West Norfolk.Labour, which finished second in 2019, has nominated local businessman Terry Jermy.

Rishi Sunak

(Getty Images)

The current prime minister could be forced out of the Commons.

According to one survey, Labour's lead in the polls is so large that even Mr Sunak, who has a majority of 27,210, might be forced out of the Commons.In less than six weeks, the prime minister, who has served as the representative for Richmond (Yorks) since 2015, may no longer be in No 10 or the Commons.

Steve Baker

(Liam McBurney/PA) (PA Archive)

The self-described Brexit "hardman" Steve Baker may only have a few weeks left in his political career since the MP for Wycombe is only upholding a majority of 4,214 votes.

Emma Reynolds has been selected by Labour, who finished second in the seat in the previous election, to run again in 2024.

Jacob Rees-Mogg

Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg was filmed being chased by protesters (Stefan Rousseau/PA) (PA Archive)

With a comfortable majority of 14,729, Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg, who was knighted last year and held the position of business secretary before, was able to hold onto his North East Somerset seat.However, a YouGov survey conducted earlier this year revealed that Sir Jacob was losing to his primary opponent for the seat, which will now be held by Hanham and North-East Somerset.Dan Norris, the mayor of West England, has been selected by Labour to run for the position. .

Sir Iain Duncan Smith

Sir Iain Duncan Smith urged the Government to follow moves by the US and act against Chinese bioscience companies (Jordan Pettitt/PA) (PA Wire)

Sir Iain Duncan Smith is standing up for a majority of just 1,262 votes in Chingford and Woodford Green.After holding the position since 1992, the former leader of the Conservative Party will have a tough fight to keep it this year.Dr Faiza Shaheen, an economist and scholar specialising in economic inequality, will run for the Labour Party this year in the outer London seat, which is near the top of the party's list of targets.

Johnny Mercer

(REUTERS)

The minister for veterans, Johnny Mercer, defeated Labour in 2015 to win his Plymouth seat, which he retained in 2017 and 2019 with a majority of 12,897.

Labour looks like it could be winning the seat in the upcoming election.

Penny Mordaunt

Commons Leader Penny Mordaunt has likened her SNP adversary to the repeatedly defeated Black Knight from Monty Python (Peter Byrne/PA) (PA Archive)

As she performed her ceremonial role as Lord President of the Council and raised the jewelled Sword of Offering at the King's coronation, the leader of the Commons gained notoriety in politics.

The Commons leader’s majority was 15,780 in 2019.

YouGov predicts that Labour will win her seat.

Grant Shapps

Defence Secretary Grant Shapps said lethal aid is flying from China to Russia (PA) (PA Wire)

In the 2019 election, the Defence Secretary secured a majority of 10,955.Labour is a potential opponent for him after initially gaining the seat from them in 2005.

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