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The Street
The Street
Samanda Dorger

The Hottest and Coolest Housing Markets

There are glimmers of hope, but the housing market is still tough for hopeful homebuyers.

The inventory of homes for sale is higher than last year, but still well below pre-pandemic levels, according to Realtor.com. Existing homeowners are digging in their heels: they’re reluctant to sell because of their locked-in mortgage rates; homes that are for sale are spending more time on the market, and listing price growth has decelerated and is expected to fall compared to last year, Realtor.com says. For buyers, higher interest rates continue to challenge affordability.

But the housing market isn’t stagnating everywhere. Lower-cost and lower-tax areas that continue to add population as well as add limited inventory of homes for sale creates housing market strength, according to a May report by Bankrate, which found that Gainesville, Georgia, seems to have that recipe for real-estate success.

The median price of homes sold in Gainesville in April was $375,000, according to Realtor.com, just a little below the national median of $388,800. The unemployment rate as of February in Gainesville was just 2.6%, with health care a major economic driver. The area has been attracting professionals who are moving out of the Atlanta metro area, Bankrate says.

The Atlanta area has 548 new home communities, according to one site that lists new homes and builder listings, and in nearby Gainesville, Georgia, (pop. of about 42,000) there are 896 new homes listed for sale as of May 23.

Across the country, Bankrate found that markets in Georgia, Tennessee, Florida and North Carolina are the strongest for sellers. On the flip side, the coolest markets in their survey are West Coast markets that experienced large run-ups in prices, as well as some Rust Belt regions struggling with job growth. 

To create their Housing Heat Index, Bankrate analyzed 212 U.S. metro areas, examining appreciation of home values, population growth and job growth over one year, the number of active residential listings per 1,000 people, and the median days a listing is on the market based on data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency, Realtor.com, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the U.S. Census. 

According to Zillow (ZG), home values in Gainesville are up 3.3% over the past year. Listings have been going "pending" in around 18 days. "Hot markets" experience higher appreciations, while "cold markets" experience declines.

On the other side of the country, a college town in California is in the bottom of the ranking -- the coolest market. The average home value there is $460,009,  down 3.9% over the past year and goes to pending in around 15 days, according to Zillow.

Based on Bankrate's report, here are the 15 hottest and coolest housing markets.

The Hottest and Coolest Housing Markets

The 15 Hottest Housing Markets

1. Gainesville, Ga.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 4 
  • Unemployment rank: 24

In the rankings of 212 metro areas, a 1 = greatest appreciation and lowest unemployment, while 212 = most depreciation and highest unemployment.

2. Knoxville, Tenn.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 6
  • Unemployment rank: 82

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3. Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 5
  • Unemployment rank: 36

    >> Also see: The Most Competitive Rental Markets

4. North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, Fla.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 2
  • Unemployment rank: 24

5. Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, N.C.-S.C.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 15
  • Unemployment rank: 101

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6. Charleston-North Charleston, S.C.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 24
  • Unemployment rank: 70

7. Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, Tenn.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 30
  • Unemployment rank: 36

8. Punta Gorda, Fla.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 7
  • Unemployment rank: 59

9. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 9
  • Unemployment rank: 18

10. Wilmington, N.C.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 14
  • Unemployment rank: 82

   >> Plus: The Best and Worst Small Cities to Launch a Business

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11. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas

  • Home value appreciation rank: 41
  • Unemployment rank: 138

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12. Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 12
  • Unemployment rank: 24

13. Winston-Salem, N.C.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 33
  • Unemployment rank: 101

14. Athens-Clarke County, Ga.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 29
  • Unemployment rank: 59

15. Jacksonville, Fla.

  • Home value appreciation rank: 31
  • Unemployment rank: 18

The following metros are the coolest housing markets in the index, ranking in the bottom. These areas could be buyer's markets.

The 15 Coolest Housing Markets

1. Chico, Calif.

  • Overall ranking: 212
  • Home value appreciation rank: 205
  • Unemployment rank: 188

The average Chico home value is $460,009, down 3.9% over the past year and goes to pending in around 15 days, according to Zillow.

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2. Shreveport-Bossier City, La.

  • Overall ranking: 211
  • Home value appreciation rank: 198
  • Unemployment rank: 115

3. Medford, Ore.

  • Overall ranking: 210
  • Home value appreciation rank: 210
  • Unemployment rank: 188

4. Cedar Rapids, Iowa

  • Overall ranking: 209
  • Home value appreciation rank: 200
  • Unemployment rank: 109

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5. Pittsburgh

  • Overall ranking: 208
  • Home value appreciation rank: 183
  • Unemployment rank: 177

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6. New Orleans-Metairie, La.

  • Overall ranking: 207
  • Home value appreciation rank: 164
  • Unemployment rank: 109

While most of the Southeast is booming, the this region’s economy and housing market are struggling. The New Orleans metro area ranks in the bottom half of every category in Bankrate’s index.

7. Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, Iowa-Ill.

  • Overall ranking: 206
  • Home value appreciation rank: 179
  • Unemployment rank: 162

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8. Napa, Calif.

  • Overall ranking: 205
  • Home value appreciation rank: 212
  • Unemployment rank: 115

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9. Redding, Calif.

  • Overall ranking: 204
  • Home value appreciation rank: 202
  • Unemployment rank: 191

10. Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, Mich.

  • Overall ranking: 203
  • Home value appreciation rank: 180
  • Unemployment rank: 122

A decades-long decline of manufacturing jobs continues to weigh on Detroit’s housing market.

11. Flint, Mich.

  • Overall ranking: 202
  • Home value appreciation rank: 172
  • Unemployment rank: 196

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12. Grand Junction, Colo.

  • Overall ranking: 201
  • Home value appreciation rank: 169
  • Unemployment rank: 122

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13. Lafayette, La.

  • Overall ranking: 200
  • Home value appreciation rank: 149
  • Unemployment rank: 90

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14. Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, Wash.

  • Overall ranking: 199
  • Home value appreciation rank: 189
  • Unemployment rank: 193

15. Santa Rosa-Petaluma, Calif.

  • Overall ranking: 198
  • Home value appreciation rank: 206
  • Unemployment rank: 109

See the full ranking of 212 metros and the methodology for this study at Bankrate.

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