This week’s prop bets include five players: a pair of wide receivers and a quarterback hitting Over their projections, a running back staying Under his number, and a player who hasn’t scored a touchdown all season ending that streak.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
5
Minnesota Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson scores a touchdown (+260)
Hockenson suffered a devastating knee injury late last season but has been back for seven games working his way back into playing shape. He has yet to score a TD since his return, but Hockenson caught eight passes for 179 yards and two touchdowns in his only previous career meeting with the Seattle Seahawks. Getting a 2.6-to-1 return on investment is done for a reason, but he’s overdue to hit the end zone — and Kevin O’Connell is aware of that.
4
Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp OVER 5.5 receptions (+105)
Kupp is coming off a game in which he had no receptions for just the third time in his career. Matthew Stafford won’t let that happen again. Even if most of his targets come at the line of scrimmage, the New York Jets are going to be getting a steady dose of Kupp and Puka Nacua all day long.
3
Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts OVER 199.5 passing yards (-115)
This number is low because the Eagles have been running Saquon Barkley into the ground -– he has 19 or more carries in each of the last five games. The Washington Commanders are preparing for another heavy dose of Barkley. If Philly wants to make a deep playoff run, it needs to start running more play-action to preserve Barkley and open up the passing game for enough big plays, so Hurts can top this very small number.
2
Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor UNDER 85.5 rushing yards (-115)
In six career games against the Tennessee Titans, not only has Taylor never topped this number, he’s never come close. The O/U is so high because Taylor has rushed 20 or more times in seven of his last nine games. He may need 20 carries to hit this number as his offensive line is banged up and isn’t playing well. The Titans defense will have priority one to stop Taylor and have accomplished that goal consistently.
1
Dallas Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb OVER 72.5 receiving yards (-115)
Lamb has been playing hurt for much of the season, but you couldn’t tell it by his numbers. He has caught six or more passes in eight of his last nine games. With the Cowboys on the brink of playoff extinction over the last two games, Lamb has caught 15 passes for 209 yards and two TDs. If he hits his low end of six-plus-reception average against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team looking to press the issue, it should be enough to surpass this number.
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