This week’s picks cover the gamut of Sunday’s games. We have a speed receiver showing his stuff in London to start the day. During the afternoon we have two of the most dynamic players surpassing their expectations and quarterback who will underperform by design. Sunday ends with fantasy football’s favorite son looking to take down America’s Team. We’re getting 14 hours of football, so we may as well make interesting from start to finish.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
5
Jacksonville Jaguars WR Christian Kirk OVER 56.5 receiving yards (-115)
The Bills have kicked in the door on their last three opponents – outscoring them 123-33. The Jaguars have the talent to hang with them but will need to match their tempo, especially if the Jags fall behind early. Trevor Lawrence has locked in on Kirk as his main target. In the last three games, Kirk has caught 23 passes for 248 yards and one touchdown. There are too many scenarios – from a nail-biting win to blowout loss – that could see Kirk top this number.
4
Miami Dolphins Tyreek Hill OVER 90.5 receiving yards (-115)
Hill has been alternating huge games and being severely limited. In Week 1, he caught 11 passes for 215 yards and two touchdowns. He followed that up with five catches for 40 yards in Week 2. After bouncing back with nine catches for 157 yards and a TD in Week 3, he had just three catches for 58 yards last week. At last check, this is an odd-numbered week and the Giants are coming to Miami. He may double this number.
3
New England Patriots QB Mac Jones UNDER 209.5 receiving yards (-115)
The Patriots are back home and looking to save their season. Jones has been a big part of the Patriots’ struggles and was benched last week. Jones has thrown fewer passes each week of the season and hasn’t topped this number in his last two games. The Saints have a solid defense, but have struggled against the run. That plays into Bill Belichick’s hands and this game may be more about Rhamondre Stevenson’s and Ezekiel Elliot’s contributions to the offense than Jones’.
2
Philadelphia Eagles RB D’Andre Swift OVER 64.5 rushing yards (-115)
Swift took a back seat in Week 1, but since then nobody has rushed for more yards. In the last three weeks, Swift has 58 attempts for 361 yards and two touchdowns. The Rams are allowing opposing runners 4.4 yards a carry and struggle to shut down teams capable of running the ball as a first option. Swift is averaging more than six yards a carry, and it doesn’t take many for a guy averaging 19 per game to top this number.
1
San Francisco 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey OVER 77.5 rushing yards (-115)
McCaffrey has been the most consistent running back in the league. He has rushed between 18 and 22 times in each of his first four games. He’s averaged 115 rush yards a game. He hasn’t rushed for fewer than 85 yards in any outing. The Cowboys have a strong defense, but they can’t simply key on McCaffrey. Brock Purdy is quietly putting up some big air numbers. The best part of betting the Over is only takes a couple of splash plays to surpass the number, and those are Run CMC’s specialty.
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