With the Super Bowl fast approaching, it’s time to start locking in some bets and getting ready to make back all that was lost during a rough regular season of betting (or was that just me?).
There are dozens of fun and equally unpredictable prop bets for the big game, but there’s nothing like the old reliables. Which is why I compiled lists of best bets for each of the traditional player props, just as I did for the conference championships.
Here’s a look at my picks for each quarterback prop between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles, with odds from BetMGM.
Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
O/U 38.5 pass attempts: Over (-120)
O/U 25.5 pass completions: Over (+100)
O/U 290.5 pass yards: Over (-115)
O/U 0.5 interceptions: Over (-105)
O/U 1.5 pass touchdowns: Over (-225)
O/U 19.5 rushing yards: Over (-120)
I expect Mahomes to have to be the Superman he’s capable of being for KC to have a shot at winning. He regularly eclipsed the lines on these passing props in some of the Chiefs’ closer games — and sometimes in games that weren’t so close. This should be a close game, so he’ll throw a lot and that includes the short passing game as a pseudo rushing attack.
Jalen Hurts, Eagles
O/U 31.5 attempts: Over (-115)
O/U 21.5 completions: Under (-135)
O/U 242.5 pass yards: Under (-115)
O/U 1.5 pass touchdowns: Under (-120)
O/U 0.5 interceptions: Under (-160)
O/U 10.5 rushing attempts: Over (+100)
O/U 49.5 rushing yards: Over (-110)
Anytime TD scorer: Yes (-110)
As improved as Hurts is as a passer this year, the Chiefs’ best strategy is probably to make him throw it. If they can find success against the run, which won’t be easy, I think his attempts climb. In response, I expect him to run a little more too. So I’m hitting the over on his rushing props.
