Recent data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention indicates a concerning rise in Covid-19 cases across the United States, driven by new variants. While Covid-19 surveillance has been scaled back since the public health emergency ended, the available data shows a consistent upward trend in infections.
Currently, infections are on the rise in at least 38 states, with viral activity particularly high in the West and South regions. The warm and moist conditions in these areas are conducive to the virus's replication and survival, according to Dr. Robert Hopkins, medical director of the National Foundation for Infectious Diseases.
Experts note that the summer surge has become a familiar seasonal pattern, but caution that the virus remains unpredictable. The emergence of new variants, such as the FLiRT variants KP.3 and KP.2, which are more transmissible and can evade the immune response, is contributing to the current surge.
Wastewater surveillance data from WastewaterSCAN suggests that the current wave of infections started earlier than last summer's wave and has reached similar peak levels. Dr. Marlene Wolfe, program director for WastewaterSCAN, highlights the need to understand the potential seasonality of Covid-19 and the impact of new variants on the frequency of surges.
While the population has had some exposure to the virus and previous peaks have been less severe, experts are cautious about predicting the future trajectory of the pandemic. The possibility of Covid-19 becoming an all-year-round disease or following a specific seasonal pattern remains uncertain.
As the US grapples with the rising cases, public health officials emphasize the importance of vaccination, mask-wearing, and other preventive measures to curb the spread of the virus and protect vulnerable populations.