The Los Angeles Times' NFL writer, Sam Farmer, examines this week's matchups. Lines according to FanDuel Sportsbook(O/U = over/under). Last week's record 11-3-1 (.786); season 119-74-1 (.617). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread last week would have been 9-5-1 (.643); season 93-97-5 (.490). Off: Bears, Colts, Commanders, Falcons, Packers, Saints. Times are Pacific.
Raiders (5-7) at Rams (3-9)
Thursday, 5:15 p.m.
Line: Raiders by 6 1/2. O/U: 44 1/2.
The Raiders defense applied pressure against Justin Herbert last week and will do the same against whomever is under center. Vegas can run it with Josh Jacobs and has a great target in Davante Adams.
Prediction: Raiders 27, Rams 17
Jets (7-5) at Bills (9-3)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Bills by 9 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.
The Jets lost last week, but Mike White can definitely play. The Bills aren't running away with the AFC anymore, so the pressure is on them to keep winning. They should, but it will be closer than expected.
Prediction: Bills 27, Jets 23
Browns (5-7) at Bengals (8-4)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Bengals by 6 1/2. O/U: 47 1/2.
The Bengals have won six of seven with their only loss coming to the Browns, who play them tough. Deshaun Watson will be better than he was in his first game back, but Browns ultimately won't keep pace.
Prediction: Bengals 28, Browns 20
Ravens (8-4) at Steelers (5-7)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Steelers by 2 1/2. O/U: 36 1/2.
This game always seems to come down to three points, regardless of who is at quarterback. Tyler Huntley should do a good job filling in for Lamar Jackson. Still, go with the mildly hot home team.
Prediction: Steelers 24, Ravens 21
Jaguars (4-8) at Titans (7-5)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Titans by 4 1/2. O/U: 41 1/2.
The Titans must be writhing when they watch what A.J. Brown is doing in Philadelphia because they're hurting at receiver. But the difference-makers are their front seven and Derrick Henry.
Prediction: Titans 27, Jaguars 23
Texans (1-10-1) at Cowboys (9-3)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Cowboys by 16 1/2. O/U: 45 1/2.
The Texans have played many teams close but will have a lot of three-and-outs against this defense. Davis Mills will hold on to the ball and take sacks, and that's not a good recipe against the Cowboys.
Prediction: Cowboys 31, Texans 10
Vikings (10-2) at Lions (5-7)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Lions by 2 1/2. O/U: 52 1/2.
The Lions are playing well and they're home but shouldn't be favored. Minnesota should be able to run better than in recent games, and Justin Jefferson should present some problems for Detroit.
Prediction: Vikings 24, Lions 21
Eagles (11-1) at Giants (7-4-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Eagles by 6 1/2. O/U: 44 1/2.
The Eagles can win so many ways and Jalen Hurts is playing great. The Giants aren't bad and have stars on both sides of the ball — Saquon Barkley and Kayvon Thibodeaux — but it isn't enough.
Prediction: Eagles 28, Giants 21
Chiefs (9-3) at Broncos (3-9)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m.
Line: Chiefs by 9 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.
The Chiefs are coming off a loss and can't seem to figure out Cincinnati. So, they have a point to prove and Denver drew the short straw. Denver's defense is pretty good but will be out there all day.
Prediction: Chiefs 31, Broncos 13
Buccaneers (6-6) at 49ers (8-4)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
Line: 49ers by 3 1/2. O/U: 37 1/2.
Late-game heroics by Tom Brady aside, Tampa Bay's offense hasn't done much lately and doesn't have tackle Tristan Wirfs. That's not good news against a really tough San Francisco defense.
Prediction: 49ers 23, Buccaneers 17
Panthers (4-8) at Seahawks (7-5)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
Line: Seahawks by 3 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.
When healthy, Carolina's defense is fairly solid and can get after the passer. Doesn't help Seattle that Kenneth Walker III is nursing an injured ankle. Regardless, Seattle has enough at home.
Prediction: Seahawks 28, Panthers 24
Dolphins (8-4) at Chargers (6-6)
Sunday, 5:20 p.m.
Line: Dolphins by 3. O/U:52 1/2.
The Chargers cannot protect Justin Herbert. Seems like he's throwing on the run on every play. The difference here is the Chargers can't stop the run, and that opens up the RPO game for Miami.
Prediction: Dolphins 30, Chargers 24
Patriots (6-6) at Cardinals (4-8)
Monday, 5:15 p.m.
Line: Patriots by 1 1/2. O/U:44 1/2.
Arizona has a lot of healthy firepower, but can its offensive line hold up? This might come down to the Cardinals front causing problems in New England's backfield. Here's betting that happens.
Prediction: Cardinals 24, Patriots 17
