In recent weeks, Russia has increased its military presence in Libya by launching multiple flights to an airbase in the Libyan desert following the ousting of Bashar al-Assad as Syrian leader. The goal behind these flights is to establish an alternative stopover for Russian military operations in Africa and maintain a strategic foothold in the Mediterranean region.
Flight-tracking data reveals a significant uptick in flights from the Hmeimim air base in Syria to al-Khadim airbase near Benghazi in eastern Libya. These flights, conducted by Russian transport planes, indicate a shift in Russia's military focus towards Libya as a key hub for projecting power into the Mediterranean.
Furthermore, recent reports suggest that Russia has begun withdrawing military equipment and troops from Syria, potentially including advanced air defense systems. This move aligns with Russia's efforts to consolidate its military presence in Libya and other parts of Africa.
Analysts point out that Russia's increased activity in Libya signifies a strategic shift in its military operations, with flights now extending to destinations like Mali. This expansion underscores Russia's efforts to diversify its military footprint in Africa and reduce its reliance on Syrian bases.
While Russia has maintained a presence in Libya for several years, recent developments indicate a deepening relationship with Gen. Khalifa Haftar, who controls a significant portion of eastern Libya. The potential establishment of a Russian naval facility under Haftar's control raises concerns among NATO members, particularly Italy, regarding Russia's growing influence in the Mediterranean.
Despite uncertainties surrounding Syria's new leadership and its stance on Russian military presence, Moscow is likely to continue hedging its bets in the region. The aftermath of Assad's ouster has posed challenges for Russia's Africa ambitions, prompting African governments to reassess their security partnerships with Moscow.
In conclusion, Russia's strategic maneuvers in Libya reflect its evolving military strategy in Africa and the Mediterranean, signaling a shift in its geopolitical priorities following Assad's downfall.
