Russia is reportedly amassing over 100,000 troops in preparation for a potential summer offensive, as revealed by the commander of Ukraine's ground forces. The exact intentions behind this military buildup remain unclear, with the possibility that these forces could be used to reinforce existing units that have suffered combat losses.
While the situation may not necessarily escalate into an offensive, there are concerns that Russia could be gearing up for significant military operations in the coming months. To counter this perceived threat, Ukraine has initiated the withdrawal of certain brigades to enhance their combat readiness.
Analysts from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) have observed ongoing offensive actions by Russian forces in eastern Ukraine, indicating a strategic effort to maintain control and momentum in the conflict. Following the capture of Avdiivka in February, Russia has continued to make incremental gains, including the recent seizure of two villages near the city.
The focus of Russian military activities appears to be concentrated in the Avdiivka, Lyman, and Bakhmut regions of eastern Donetsk, with a notable emphasis on sustaining pressure in these areas. The battle for Avdiivka, marked by intense fighting and significant casualties on both sides, stands as a grim reminder of the human cost of the conflict.
Reports from the UK Ministry of Defence suggest that Russia suffered a high daily average of casualties in February, underscoring the toll of the ongoing hostilities. Despite some tactical successes, Russia's advances have reportedly slowed in recent weeks, likely due to the substantial losses incurred during the campaign to secure Avdiivka.