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Retaliatory strikes may not deter future attacks, telegraphing criticized

Former President Donald Trump attends the Trump Organization civil fraud trial in New York State Supreme Court, Thursday, Dec. 7, 2023, in New York. (David Dee Delgado/Pool Photo via AP)

Retaliatory Strikes Against Iran Target Storage Facilities Used for Drone Attacks

In a recent development, the United States carried out retaliatory strikes against Iran, targeting storage facilities believed to be used for launching drone attacks on American troops. The objective of these strikes is not only to degrade the storage facilities but also to deter future attacks against U.S. soldiers stationed in the Middle East.

The former Ambassador at Large and Counterterror Coordinator under President Trump, Nathan Sales, expressed his support for the retaliatory strikes. He argued that the White House has been passive for the past three years while Iran has repeatedly targeted American service members in the region. He cited over 160 attacks since the Hamas attacks on Israel in October, along with at least 83 Iranian attacks prior to that.

Sales noted that previous responses from the White House had been inadequate. Often, only empty buildings in remote locations were targeted. He emphasized that such actions are not enough to grab Tehran's attention. Thus, the recent strikes were a step up from previous efforts. However, there are concerns about whether they will effectively restore deterrence.

One major issue raised by Sales is the telegraphing of the planned retaliation. This, he argues, provided the Iranians with an opportunity to move their commanders and equipment out of harm's way. Moreover, it alerted their air defenses, which could have endangered American airmen during the mission. Fortunately, no incidents were reported, but the risk to American lives was highlighted.

The Defense Secretary was also questioned about the level of telegraphing by the United States. While he did not provide a direct response, he reiterated that the U.S. would have a multi-tiered approach. However, criticism was aimed at the Secretary's perceived lack of clarity and confusion in his statement.

Experts and analysts share concerns about the effectiveness of telegraphing military actions. It is widely understood that by disclosing plans to the enemy, they have the opportunity to evade and counter the strikes. The divulgence of intentions by the U.S. raises doubts about the efficacy of the operation.

As tensions rise in the region, it remains to be seen how Iran will respond to the recent strikes. The knowledge of an impending attack could have prompted the Iranians to take precautions, such as moving personnel and equipment. The outcome of this development contributes to the growing skepticism among people regarding the transparency and reliability of government institutions.

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