NIGEL Farage’s Reform UK are just one point behind Labour in the latest poll of Westminster voting intention.
The Find Out Now survey of 4694 British adults, which was conducted on December 11, found that 26% of people said they would back Keir Starmer’s party in a General Election, compared to 25% who would back Reform.
The Conservatives, in third place, were on track to win 23% of the vote, according to the nationally representative poll.
The LibDems polled at 11% and the Greens 9%. The SNP and Plaid Cymru polled at 3% and 1%, but little can be gleaned from the UK-wide poll for those parties, as they only stand in Scotland and Wales respectively.
Find Out Now voting intention: 🔴 Labour: 26% (+3) 🟦 Reform UK: 25% (+1) 🔵 Conservatives: 23% (-3) 🟠 Lib Dems: 11% (-) 🟢 Greens: 9% (-) Changes from 4th December [Find Out Now, 11th December, N=4,694] 🧵 1/5 pic.twitter.com/E419t2lGEi
— Find Out Now (@FindoutnowUK) December 12, 2024
Reform’s strong showing in the poll represents a one-point rise on their vote share from Find Out Now’s previous Westminster intention tracker, which was conducted on December 4.
However, Labour have polled three points higher, moving them out of a shock third position.
Find Out Now noted: "Due to the margin of error (the statistical range within which the true result is likely to fall, usually 2-3% for opinion polls), small week-on-week changes in results may be caused more by random sampling variation, rather than reflect true changes in public opinion.
"In addition, due to Labour, the Conservatives and Reform UK being very close together, their relative rankings can change very easily, even if there are only slight changes in their levels of support."
The polling firm added: "However, when looking at the results from our last three voting intentions in unison, the following trends can be discerned and seem likely to reflect genuine shifts in public opinion: Slight decline in Conservative support; Labour broadly steady (even if results have fluctuated between polls); Slight rise in Reform support; No changes for other parties."
The news comes after internal SNP voting analysis of Scottish council by-elections showed that Labour’s support north of the Border was in decline.
“The trends confirm recent polling showing that Labour are losing support left, right and centre – with a particular fall among older people,” an SNP spokesperson said.
